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FC Porto VS VfB Stuttgart Football Betting Tips & Predictions

UEFA Europa League

Porto

2 - 0

HT: 1 - 0 | FT: 2 - 0

Stuttgart

Porto vs Stuttgart - Expert Prediction

Editor's Picks

⭐️ Our Tips

Value bet

We expect an open, attack-minded game with both sides creating chances, so three or more goals looks underpriced.
👉 There will be more than 2.5 goals in the match @1.83

Check 1 more tips in our app!

We face a make-or-break return on March 19 as Porto arrive with a slim 2-1 first-leg lead, meaning we can expect a tense night where Porto try to protect their edge and Stuttgart must chase goals to stay alive.

🤜🤛 Head-to-Head games

The recent H2H history is short but decisive: the only meeting this season finished 2-1 to FC Porto in Stuttgart, leaving Porto with the clear edge in this mini-rivalry (1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses). The fixture showed both teams can score and produced more than two goals, suggesting any replay could be open and attack-minded rather than cagey. Given Porto’s away success in that game and the narrow margin, the trend favors Porto to avoid defeat.

👉 H2H trend bet: Porto to win, draw no bet @1.87

💡 Key H2H stat

Porto won the last meeting 2-1 away in Stuttgart — the only recent H2H shows both teams scored and produced over 2.5 goals.
👉 H2H stat bet: Porto to win, draw no bet @1.87

🔎 Last H2H match details

Porto grabbed control early in the match with two quick finishes between the 21st and 27th minutes to move 2-0 up. Stuttgart fought back before half-time, pulling one goal back and finishing the first half with momentum and several chances. The second half was more balanced: Porto managed the game, made multiple substitutions to protect the lead, while Stuttgart pressed and created openings. Despite sustained late pressure from Stuttgart, Porto held on and limited clear high-quality chances. In the end Porto deserved the 2-1 win thanks to a sharper first-half performance.

📊 Last 1 H2H games stats

This single recent H2H was an open, decisive contest: Porto won 2-1, both teams scored and the match finished over 2.5 goals.
- Last meeting: VfB Stuttgart 1-2 FC Porto (12 Mar 2026)
- Both teams scored: 100% (1/1)
- Over 2.5 goals: 100% (1/1)

🏠 Home team form: Porto (last 10 games)

Porto are in good nick at home and on a generally rising run — in their last 10 outings they recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, scoring regularly while keeping several clean sheets. The team has averaged 1.7 goals per game and conceded under one on average, so matches tend to feature Porto on the front foot with occasional vulnerabilities at the back. Overall the trend is positive with Porto finding the net consistently and controlling most of their home fixtures.
👉 Porto total goals prediction: Porto over 1.5 @2.13

💡 Key Porto stat

Porto are unbeaten in their last 10 home matches, maintaining a perfect home record across that run.

👉 Porto stat bet: Porto to win, draw no bet @1.87

🔎 Last Porto match details

Porto beat Moreirense FC 3-0 in their most recent game, taking control early and converting that pressure into goals in the first half before managing the match after the break. The side set up in a 4-3-3 and combined a core of regular starters (notably a settled backline and goalkeeper) with rotated attacking options, so it was a strong but partially rotated XI rather than a full-strength wholesale overhaul. Porto created the clearer chances across both halves, converted efficiently and closed the game out without conceding.

📊 Last 10 Porto games stats

Across the last 10 matches Porto scored 17 goals (1.7 per game) and conceded 9 (0.9 per game), showing a positive goal difference and consistent attacking output. Both teams scored in 60% of these fixtures, while Porto kept clean sheets in 30% of games — a sign of an attack-minded team that can still shut opponents out on occasion.

- Last 10 record: 6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses.
- Average goals: 1.7 scored / 0.9 conceded per game.
- BTTS in 6 of 10 matches (60%).

👥 Lineup update

👥 The lineups are announced and analyzed: Home XI 87% strength · Away XI 92% strength. Here are our tips for the 1st half:

🏆 Team to win the 1st half: Draw @1.97

🎯 Goals total in the 1st half: Over 0.5 @1.47

Reasoning: The XIs are broadly what we expected — the away side is closer to full strength while the home is a bit rotated, but neither side threw out major surprises.

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🧳 Away team form: Stuttgart (last 10 games)

Stuttgart have been in decent nick lately with a 5-2-3 record in their last 10 matches, producing more wins than defeats and showing an overall upward attacking trend. They average 2.2 goals per game and have been involved in a lot of open, high-scoring affairs rather than cagey low-scoring ties. Defensively they’ve kept a few clean sheets but the pattern is clearly offensive — expect an attack-minded Stuttgart on the road.

👉 Stuttgart total goals prediction: Stuttgart over 1.5 @2.28

💡 Key Stuttgart stat

Stuttgart average 2.57 goals per game when playing away, so they’ve been unusually prolific on the road.

👉 Stuttgart stat bet: Stuttgart over 1.5 @2.28

🔎 Last Stuttgart match details

Stuttgart’s most recent game was a 1-0 home win against RB Leipzig. They used a 4-4-2 shape and fielded what looked like a near full-strength XI, with regular starters anchoring the line-up and only tactical subs used later on. The first half was tight and chance-light, but Stuttgart improved after the break, took the lead early in the second half and then defended their advantage while managing the game tempo. Leipzig pushed late, but Stuttgart held firm and converted the best opening they created.

📊 Last 10 Stuttgart games stats

Stuttgart’s last ten matches have been entertaining and attack-focused: they average 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, with BTTS in 60% of fixtures and Over 2.5 goals in 80% of matches. While they can keep clean sheets, most games produce multiple goals and are decided by slim margins.

- Average goals scored: 2.2 per game (22 goals in 10 matches)
- BTTS: 60% (6/10) and Over 2.5 goals in 80% of matches (8/10)
- Clean sheets: 3 (30% of matches)

🎯 Goals total prediction

BTTS (both teams to score)

We expect both teams to find the net — Porto have been involved in plenty of BTTS games at home and Stuttgart’s away form is attack‑heavy, while their recent meeting finished 2-1. Both sides create chances and concede enough to make a both‑teams‑to‑score outcome the most likely short‑term scenario.
👉 BTTS prediction: Yes @ 1.59

Goals total over / under

We favour a 3+ goal game: Porto’s matches often sit around 2–3 total goals at home while Stuttgart’s away fixtures regularly produce multiple goals, so a push for over 2.5 is justified despite many games staying under 3.5. The combined attacking output points to at least three goals being likely rather than a one‑or‑two goal stalemate.
👉 Goals total prediction: Over 2.5 @ 1.83

❌ Missing players

Porto



Stuttgart

Stuttgart have a trio of absentees, but none have contributed goals or assists in the last 10 games, so the immediate attacking threat is limited; losing two defenders and a forward still weakens squad depth and could force tactical tweaks.

- Dan Zagadou (defender) | 0 goals, 0 assists | doubtful ❓ | injured 🩼 | since 4 days
- Josha Vagnoman (defender) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 11 days
- Lazar Jovanovic (forward) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 66 days

👥 Player stats (last 10 games)

Porto present a mixed profile: a clear defensive core that starts almost every game (Diogo Costa, Jan Bednarek, Pepe) combined with considerable rotation up front and frequent sub use — attackers often feature off the bench. Stuttgart are more consistent with a stable starting XI and a clearly defined attacking focal point, relying heavily on Deniz Undav for goals and contributions from a few regular creators. Porto generate a decent number of shots spread across players but convert modestly; Stuttgart create more shots overall with Undav the main finishing outlet. Stuttgart look slightly more aggressive in bookings, while Porto’s cards are concentrated in a couple of players.

👀 Key players to watch

Porto: Jan Bednarek anchors the backline and almost never misses a start, providing stability; up front Oskar Pietuszewski is a threat given his goal return off a mix of starts and sub appearances.
Stuttgart: Deniz Undav is the main man — top scorer and contributor — and will be the primary danger; Jamie Leweling and Ermedin Demirovic supply secondary firepower and service.
(Injuries: VfB Stuttgart have Zagadou Dan doubtful, Josha Vagnoman missing and Lazar Jovanovic missing; they are excluded from prediction picks.)

Porto (last 10 games)

- Starter 11 games: Jan Bednarek (10), Diogo Costa (10), Pepe (9)
- Shots & goals: Oskar Pietuszewski (3 goals / 10 shots), William Gomes (2 goals / 13 shots), Victor Mow Froholdt (2 goals / 11 shots)
- Assists: Victor Mow Froholdt (3), Gabriel Veiga (2), Oskar Pietuszewski (1)

Stuttgart (last 10 games)

- Starter 11 games: Alexander Nubel (10), Atakan Karazor (9), Deniz Undav (9)
- Shots & goals: Deniz Undav (7 goals / 33 shots), Jamie Leweling (4 goals / 13 shots), Ermedin Demirovic (3 goals / 17 shots)
- Assists: Deniz Undav (3), Ermedin Demirovic (2), Chris Fuhrich (2)

"Our player markets predictions:
👉 Anytime goalscorer: Deniz Undav
👉 Anytime assist: Victor Mow Froholdt"

Reasons: Undav is the clear finishing focal point with seven goals and the highest shot volume; he’s the most likely to convert chances. Victor Mow Froholdt leads Porto in assists and combines regular starts with the creativity to set up a scorer — a solid pick for an assist.

🟨🟥 Yellow and red cards

Stuttgart are marginally more aggressive overall (more total yellows) while Porto keep discipline to a degree but have a couple of repeat offenders. Porto’s bookings are concentrated in Alberto Costa and Alan Varela (both frequent starters), and William Gomes is the only player with a red. Stuttgart’s bookings are led by Bilal El Khannouss and Julian Chabot; the rest of their cards are spread between a few regulars. Expect a moderately physical game with potential for several yellows given both sides’ combative defenders and the mid-intensity European context. (Injuries: Zagadou Dan doubtful, Josha Vagnoman missing, Lazar Jovanovic missing.)

Porto (last 10 games)

- Yellow cards: Alberto Costa (4), Alan Varela (4), William Gomes (2)
- Red cards: William Gomes (1)

Stuttgart (last 10 games)

- Yellow cards: Bilal El Khannouss (5), Julian Chabot (3), Deniz Undav (1)
- Red cards:

"👉 Player to be booked prediction: Bilal El Khannouss"

Reason: El Khannouss already tops the booking list with five yellows and plays a combative role; he’s the likeliest candidate to collect another card in a competitive encounter.

🔁 Squad depth & rotation preference (last 10 games)

Both coaches rotate regularly, with Porto averaging 4.5 substitutions per game and Stuttgart slightly higher at 4.8, so neither side is tied rigidly to a single XI. Managers appear comfortable using fresh legs late on, suggesting tactical tweaks or plan-B options are likely if the starters aren’t delivering. Expect late-game changes to be a real factor in settling tight moments and chasing comebacks.

⚽ Goals & assists by subs

Substitutes have played a meaningful role for both teams: Porto’s bench produced 4 goals and 3 assists (25% of goals, 30% of assists), while Stuttgart’s bench supplied 4 goals and 7 assists (18.2% of goals, 46.7% of assists). There’s a clear difference in creative impact — Stuttgart’s subs are markedly more influential in creating chances, whereas Porto’s bench contributes slightly more in finishing.

🃏 Joker players

Porto have a clear late-game match-winner in William Gomes, who has 2 goals and 1 assist off the bench, giving him a noticeable edge over other Porto jokers. Stuttgart’s bench stands out for creativity with Nikolas Nartey and Tiago Tomas each recording 2 assists as substitutes (plus 1 goal apiece), marking them as real game-changers coming on late.

Joker value bet predictions:
👉 Anytime goalscorer: William Gomes
He’s the main impact substitute for Porto with 2 goals as a sub, making him a realistic late-match scoring threat.

👉 Anytime assist: Nikolas Nartey
Nartey’s 2 assists off the bench show he can unlock defenses after coming on, so he’s a strong play in the assist market.

Joker players bets are high risk, high reward because they may not play at all, and if they do, they have less time to make impact on the game.

🧑‍⚖️ Referee impact (last 10 games) - Taylor, Anthony

Taylor is a relatively calm official who allows better game flow than the average Europa League referee, committing to fewer stoppages but showing a clear tendency to award spot-kicks. Compared with competition averages, he gives fewer fouls (20.08 vs 23.54) and slightly fewer bookings, but his penalty rate is markedly higher — the elevated penalty frequency is the most notable stat for match outcome considerations.

💢 Avg. fouls per game

Taylor averages 20.08 fouls per game compared with the Europa League referee average of 23.54, so there’s a modest reduction in interventions and less disruption to attacking sequences. The difference is visible and favors teams that use quick counters and pace (20.08 vs 23.54).
Fouls total prediction: 👉 Total fouls under 23.5

🟨🟥 Avg. yellow and red cards per game

Taylor issues slightly fewer yellow and red cards than the competition norm (3.76 yellows and 0.09 reds vs 4.04 yellows and 0.13 reds), indicating players may face marginally less booking pressure and fewer game-changing dismissals. The deviation is small but consistent, so expect a relatively disciplined game with limited red-card risk (3.76/0.09 vs 4.04/0.13).
Booking points prediction: 👉 Total cards under 4.5

🥅 Avg. penalty shots per game

Taylor’s penalty rate (0.25 per game) is significantly above the tournament average (0.02), making spot-kicks a meaningful possibility in tight box incidents and increasing the value of penalty-related markets. Given his clear tendency to award penalties, however the overall average is still below the 0.3 threshold for automatic recommendation.
Penalty value bet: 👉 At least 1 penalty given: NO

🚩 Set-pieces (last 10 games)

Both teams generate a moderate amount of set-piece situations but Porto stands out for winning noticeably more free kicks, which could translate into more final-third opportunities; overall neither side is exceptional on corners compared with continental norms. Key difference: Porto’s higher free-kick rate points to more chances from set routines, a factor that could tilt tight moments in their favor.

📐 Avg. corners per game

Porto (5.06) and Stuttgart (5.00) post almost identical corner tallies, so there’s no meaningful difference between them and the game should not be expected to be corner-heavy.
👉 Total corners over 9.5

🎯 Avg. free kicks per game

Porto averages substantially more free kicks (12.92) than Stuttgart (9.65), and both teams take roughly the same share of those from the final third (~15–16%), so Porto should create more dangerous set-piece situations in and around the box. The gap suggests Porto is more likely to earn fouls in dangerous areas and therefore generate higher-quality dead-ball chances.

🧑‍🦱 Goals by head

Porto has a small edge in headed goals (1 headed goal, 6.25% rate) while Stuttgart recorded none, so Porto presents a marginally greater aerial threat from set plays; however, headed-goal totals are low for both teams, so reliance on headers is limited.

High Odds Tips

Tips and predictions with odds greater than 2.5

Correct score regular time: 2:1

odds +850
Tip Score: 2.0

FC Porto vs VfB Stuttgart InPlay & Live Tips

Best tips for live matches

Stuttgart to win, half stake returned if there is a draw

odds +817 Live
Tip Score: 2.8

There will be more than 2 goals in the match

odds +156 Live
Tip Score: 2.0

Tips from In Form Tipsters

Tips from Tipsters with at least x3 tips won streak.

Porto win or draw

odds -217
Tip Score: 0.8

Both teams will score in the 1st half

odds +338
Tip Score: 0.6

1X2 Tips

Best tips for all "to win" markets

Porto will win the match

odds +158
Tip Score: 5.9
Good

Stuttgart will win the match

odds +179
Tip Score: 5.7
Good

BTTS, Over/Under Tips

Best tips for goal markets

There will be more than 2.5 goals in the match

odds -112
Tip Score: 4.6
Good

There will be more than 2.5 goals in the match

odds -112
Tip Score: 3.5

Victor Prediction Tips

Teams to win betting predictions

Porto will win the match

odds +158
Tip Score: 5.9
Good

Stuttgart will win the match

odds +179
Tip Score: 5.7
Good

Both teams to score tips (BTTS tips)

Best BTTS predictions from our tipsters

Both teams will score in the match

odds -143
Tip Score: 1.8

Both teams will score in the match

odds -143
Tip Score: 1.1

Correct Score Tips

Best tips for a correct score of the game

Correct score regular time: 2:1

odds +850
Tip Score: 2.0

Best Bets Today Tips

Top 10 tips for today according to our AI model

Porto will win the match

odds +158
Tip Score: 5.9
Good

Stuttgart will win the match

odds +179
Tip Score: 5.7
Good

Sure Bet Tips

Tips with at least 80% probability according to bookmakers

There will be less than 4 goals in the match

odds -526
Tip Score: 2.2

📋 Lineups

FC Porto Porto
1 Martinez 3 Silva 4 Pereira 5 Santos 2 Dias 8 Oliveira 6 Fernandes 10 Costa 11 Almeida 9 Rodriguez 7 Lopez 1 Rossi 3 Garcia 4 Torres 5 Moreno 2 Varela 6 Mendez 8 Paqueta 11 Everton 10 Henrique 7 Arrascaeta 9 Pedro
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Lineups are only available in the ProTipster app!

Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart

FC Porto - VfB Stuttgart streaks and trends

Team Trend or streak Prediction Odds
Logo Porto have won 4 of their last 5 matches (UEFA Europa League). Home Win +158
Logo Porto have won 15 of their last 20 matches (all competitions). Home Win +158
Logo matchFact.teamToWinFirstHalf.homeWon.withMissing matchFact.prediction.teamToWinFirstHalf.home +209
Logo matchFact.teamToWinFirstHalf.homeWon.withMissing matchFact.prediction.teamToWinFirstHalf.home +209
Logo Porto are undefeated in their last 6 matches (UEFA Europa League). Home Win or Draw -217
Logo Porto are undefeated in 18 of their last 20 matches (all competitions). Home Win or Draw -217
Logo Stuttgart have not drawn their last 11 matches (UEFA Europa League). Away Win or Lose -303
Logo Stuttgart have not drawn 12 of their last 14 matches (all competitions). Away Win or Lose -303
Logo There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of Porto's last 9 games (UEFA Europa League). Under 3.5 -270
Logo There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 8 of Stuttgart's last 10 games (all competitions). Over 2.5 -112
Logo There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 14 of Porto's last 17 games (all competitions). Under 3.5 -270
Logo There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Stuttgart's last 7 games (UEFA Europa League). Over 2.5 -112
Logo Both teams scored in 5 of Porto's last 6 games (UEFA Europa League). BTTS: Yes -143
Logo Porto have scored under 2.5 in 7 of their last 9 matches (all competitions). Home under 2.5 -588
Logo Porto have scored under 2.5 in 15 of their last 17 matches (UEFA Europa League). Home under 2.5 -588
Logo Stuttgart have scored under 3.5 in 4 of their last 5 matches (UEFA Europa League). Away under 3.5 -10000
Logo Stuttgart have scored under 2.5 in 4 of their last 5 matches (all competitions). Away under 2.5 -769

Porto vs Stuttgart - Community Prediction

Community's Picks

-> Porto will win the match @2.58
-> There will be more than 2.5 goals in the match @2.05
-> Both teams will score in the match @1.73
Porto will win the match (odd: 2.58) showing strong backing from the community, while there will be more than 2.5 goals in the match (odd: 2.05) confirming expectations of an active affair. Both teams will score in the match (odd: 1.73) adds balance to our bet, highlighting the likelihood of goals coming from both sides in this showdown.

Porto - Community Tips Summary

The community’s backing for Porto is pretty solid, with plenty of tips favoring a win and a Porto win or draw also getting a good nod. They’re also hinting at a lively match with over 2.5 total goals and both sides likely getting on the score sheet, but in the end, it's clear they see Porto in the driving seat.

Stuttgart - Community Tips Summary

Stuttgart gets only a handful of nods in the betting tips, and nothing overwhelmingly strong points to a serious push against Porto. The sparse backing in key betting areas suggests that while there’s a few who see potential, the overall vibe is that their role is more of a resistance than a real threat.
This article is a summary of 74 tips posted by ProTipster community at 12 hours before the game starts. Current number of tips posted may be different.

Comfortable win expected for Porto

Porto looks to be the clear favourite here while Stuttgart gathers only a handful of backing. The vibe is that Porto should control the match while Stuttgart might play a bit on the counter.

What happens in 1st half? A cautious start expected

There aren’t a ton of tips for a lively first half. A few folks reckon the half will start off with a draw and a couple expect less than 1.5 goals, though there’s a nudge that there’ll be more than 0.5 goals overall. It seems like the community is expecting a cautious and low-key opening period.

How many goals total will we see? 3+ total expected

When you look at the overall game, plenty of tips lean towards an open match with over 2.5 goals getting solid backing. The idea is the match won’t be a defensive slugfest and both teams are likely to find the net. In short, expect at least three goals to be scored.

Who will score and how many? Both sides to get on board

The tips for individual team goals are a bit more spread out. For Porto, a few punters back over 1.5 goals while Stuttgart gets a bit more emphasis with over 1.5 goals receiving a couple more tips overall. The picture isn’t crystal clear on exact numbers but hints that both sides could chip in with one or two goals each.

Who will win? Porto emerges as the clear favourite

The heavy majority of overall match win tips back Porto while only a few back Stuttgart. Double chance bets tilt towards a Porto win or draw too, reinforcing the idea of Porto dominating. The message from the community is pretty clear – Porto should come out on top.

By how many goals? A narrow margin in Porto’s favour

When it comes to goal margins, the handicap tips don’t show a big consensus. Some backs hint at a two-goal win for Porto while other handicap plays focus on drawing no bet scenarios. Overall, most feel that Porto will edge Stuttgart by a slim margin, likely winning by just one goal.

Last matches

League table - UEFA Europa League 25/26

Team P W D L PTS
1 Olympique Lyon 8 7 0 1 21
2 Aston Villa 8 7 0 1 21
3 FC Midtjylland 8 6 1 1 19
4 Real Betis Seville 8 5 2 1 17
5 FC Porto 8 5 2 1 17
6 SC Braga 8 5 2 1 17
7 SC Freiburg 8 5 2 1 17
8 AS Roma 8 5 1 2 16
9 KRC Genk 8 5 1 2 16
10 Bologna FC 8 4 3 1 15
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 5 0 3 15
12 Ferencvarosi Budapest 8 4 3 1 15
13 Nottingham Forest 8 4 2 2 14
14 FC Viktoria Plzen 8 3 5 0 14
15 FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 8 4 2 2 14
16 RC Celta de Vigo 8 4 1 3 13
17 PAOK Thessaloniki 8 3 3 2 12
18 Lille OSC 8 4 0 4 12
19 Fenerbahce Istanbul 8 3 3 2 12
20 Panathinaikos Athens 8 3 3 2 12
21 Celtic Glasgow 8 3 2 3 11
22 PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad 8 3 1 4 10
23 GNK Dinamo Zagreb 8 3 1 4 10
24 SK Brann 8 2 3 3 9
25 Young Boys Bern 8 3 0 5 9
26 SK Sturm Graz 8 2 1 5 7
27 Fotbal Club FCSB 8 2 1 5 7
28 Go Ahead Eagles 8 2 1 5 7
29 Feyenoord Rotterdam 8 2 0 6 6
30 FC Basel 1893 8 2 0 6 6
31 FC Salzburg 8 2 0 6 6
32 Glasgow Rangers 8 1 1 6 4
33 OGC Nice 8 1 0 7 3
34 FC Utrecht 8 0 1 7 1
35 Malmo FF 8 0 1 7 1
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv FC 8 0 1 7 1