Football Peru Liga 1
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FBC Melgar VS Universitario de Deportes Football Betting Tips & Predictions

Liga 1

Melgar

2 - 1

HT: 2 - 1 | FT: 2 - 1

Universitario

Melgar vs Universitario - Expert Prediction

Editor's Picks

⭐️ Our Tips

Value bet

We think both teams will find the net in this volatile, goal-prone Melgar side meeting a defensively solid but occasionally leaky Universitario, making BTTS underpriced.
👉 Both teams will score in the match @[1.89]

Check 1 more tips in our app!

We head to Arequipa on April 19 for a key Liga 1 clash as Melgar, boosted by a recent league win, host defending champions Universitario who must bounce back from a Copa Libertadores loss — three points could shift the table, so this one really matters.

⏱️ Half-time update

⏱️ It's 0-0 at the break. Here are our live predictions for the 2nd half:

🏆 Team to win the 2nd half: Home @2.10

🎯 Goals total in the 2nd half: Over 0.5 @1.25

💡 Reasoning: The hosts controlled the opening 45 with the bulk of possession and the cleaner shots, while the visitors sat deep and produced nothing on target.

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🤜🤛 Head-to-Head games

Recent H2H meetings have tilted in Universitario’s favour — they’ve taken the upper hand in the rivalry while Melgar have struggled to get consistent results. The last 10 clashes have been tight and low-scoring overall, with most games decided by a single goal and plenty of matches staying under 2.5 goals.

💡 Key H2H stat

Across their historical head-to-heads, Universitario de Deportes hold the advantage — they have won 27 of the last 60 meetings with Melgar, compared to Melgar’s 16 wins and 17 draws.

🔎 Last H2H match details

Melgar started strongly and opened the scoring inside the opening ten minutes, looking the more dangerous side early on. Universitario grew into the game and levelled just after the 20-minute mark, shifting momentum across the remainder of the first half. The second half was cagey with many substitutions, but Universitario seized control late and scored the decisive goal around the 81st minute. Melgar pushed for an equaliser and created late chances but could not convert, and a late red card compounded their frustrations — Universitario finished the stronger and deserved the win.

📊 Last 10 H2H games stats

Universitario have won 6 of the last 10 meetings while Melgar managed 2 wins and there were 2 draws, showing a clear recent edge for the visitors. Seven of those 10 games finished under 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in half of the matches, underlining a pattern of close, low-scoring affairs.

🏠 Home team form: Melgar (last 10 games)

Melgar’s recent form is inconsistent and reads 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 matches, showing no clear upward momentum and a slightly declining trend overall. The team have been involved in goal-heavy games — averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game — so results have swung both ways. Defensively they’ve struggled for shutouts while still producing attacking returns intermittently.

👉 Melgar total goals prediction: Melgar over 1.5 @2.5

💡 Key Melgar stat

Melgar are on a seven-game winless run.

🔎 Last Melgar match details

Melgar beat Sport Boys Association 3-1 away, taking control early with a fast start and three first-half goals to put the game beyond doubt. They lined up in a 4-3-3 and fielded a near full-strength XI with regular starters across defence and midfield while using rotation on the bench in attack. The second half was more frantic: Melgar conceded a penalty (1-3), missed a penalty of their own and saw two players dismissed late, which allowed Sport Boys to press in the final stages. Despite the late pressure and disciplinary issues, Melgar managed to hold on and deserved the victory thanks to their dominant first half.

📊 Last 10 Melgar games stats

Melgar’s last ten fixtures have been high-scoring and volatile: 80% were BTTS and 70% finished over 2.5 goals, while clean sheets came only 20% of the time. Overall the team averages 1.5 goals for and against per game, underlining that matches involving Melgar often produce goals at both ends.

👥 Lineup update

👥 The lineups are announced and analyzed: Home XI 87% strength · Away XI 92% strength. Here are our tips for the 1st half:

🏆 Team to win the 1st half: Draw @1.97

🎯 Goals total in the 1st half: Over 0.5 @1.47

Reasoning: The XIs are broadly what we expected — the away side is closer to full strength while the home is a bit rotated, but neither side threw out major surprises.

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🧳 Away team form: Universitario (last 10 games)

Universitario have been steady but not flying — in their last 10 matches they registered 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with most games staying tight and low-scoring. The team has averaged 1.0 goals per game while keeping five clean sheets, so results have tended to come from narrow margins rather than goal fests. Overall the trend reads stable rather than clearly rising or declining, but Universitario’s troubles on the road recently hint at limited attacking threat away from home.

👉 Universitario total goals prediction: under 1.5 @1.37

💡 Key Universitario stat

Universitario de Deportes are currently on a six-game winless run on the road, failing to win any of their last six away matches.

🔎 Last Universitario match details

Universitario hosted Coquimbo Unido and suffered a 0-2 defeat after conceding early and then again shortly after the second half began. The match unfolded with Universitario dominating possession and creating the better chances after the break, but Coquimbo were clinical on the counter and converted two of their opportunities. Universitario lined up in a 4-2-3-1 shape and the coach named a near full-strength side with regular starters in place, making multiple tactical substitutions as they chased the game. Despite the pressure and late set-piece activity, Universitario couldn’t break through.

📊 Last 10 Universitario games stats

Across the last ten fixtures Universitario have been defensively resilient (five clean sheets) with low totals prevailing — seven of ten matches finished under 2.5 goals. The side averages 1.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game, producing many tight results and several goalless draws.

- Clean sheets: 5 in 10 (50%)
- Record (last 10): W4 D4 L2
- Under 2.5 goals: 7 of 10 (70%)

🎯 Goals total prediction

BTTS (both teams to score)

We think both teams will score. Melgar’s recent fixtures show a strong BTTS trend while Universitario still concedes or scores in a fair share of away games, so this matchup has the hallmarks of both sides finding the net even in a tight game.
👉 BTTS prediction: Yes @ 1.89

Goals total over / under

Under 2.5 looks the safest play. Head‑to‑head and Universitario’s recent run favour low totals (many 0‑0/1‑0/1‑1 finishes) and average goals between these sides sits around 2–2.5, so we expect a close contest with fewer than three goals.
👉 Goals total prediction: Under 2.5 @ 1.62

👥 Player stats (last 10 games)

Both teams show a clear core of regular starters but Melgar rotate more often with frequent use of substitutes, while Universitario largely stick to a stable first XI. Melgar’s goals come from a couple of finishers and a single main creative outlet, whereas Universitario depend heavily on Alex Valera for chances and scoring; Universitario also produce more total shots (notably Valera) but convert less efficiently. Discipline-wise Melgar have more total cards and red dismissals spread across different players, while Universitario’s bookings are concentrated in a few defensive/central players.

👀 Key players to watch

Melgar: Johnny Vidales and Bernardo Cuesta are the main attacking threats — Vidales is the top scorer while Cuesta combines goals with chance creation. Nicolas Quagliata is the team’s main creator and a likely source of assists.

Universitario: Alex Valera is the clear focal point for goals and shots; Lisandro Alzugaray provides a secondary scoring threat and chance creation. José Carabali stands out as a dual contributor with assists and consistent starts.

Melgar (last 10 games)

- Starter 11 games: Javier Salas (9), Walter Tandazo (9), Jesus Alcantar (8)
- Shots & goals: Johnny Vidales (4 goals / 11 shots), Bernardo Cuesta (3 goals / 15 shots), Matias Zegarra (2 goals / 9 shots)
- Assists: Nicolas Quagliata (3), Bernardo Cuesta (2), Matias Zegarra (1)

Universitario (last 10 games)

- Starter 11 games: Alex Valera (10), Cain Fara (10), Jesus Castillo (10)
- Shots & goals: Alex Valera (4 goals / 29 shots), Lisandro Alzugaray (2 goals / 20 shots), Martin Perez Guedes (1 goal / 12 shots)
- Assists: Jose Carabali (2), Alex Valera (1), Lisandro Alzugaray (1)

Our player markets predictions:
👉 Anytime goalscorer: Alex Valera
I picked Valera because he’s Universitario’s dominant attacking outlet (most starts, highest shot volume and joint top scorer), so he’s heavily involved in the team’s chances and most likely to finish one of them.

👉 Anytime assist: Nicolas Quagliata
Quagliata leads Melgar in assists and consistently starts when deployed; he’s the most likely to create clear opportunities for Melgar’s main finishers.

🟨🟥 Yellow and red cards

Melgar are slightly more aggressive overall with a higher total of bookings and multiple red cards spread across different players, suggesting disciplinary risk across the pitch. Universitario’s cards are concentrated in a few defensive/central figures, including one red; that tends to make their defensive spine the main discipline concern. Expect a competitive game with a decent card count given Melgar’s spread of cautions and Universitario’s tendency for bookings among key defenders.

Total cards: Melgar 21 yellow, 3 red. Universitario 18 yellow, 1 red.

Melgar (last 10 games)

- Yellow cards: Jeriel De Santis (4), Walter Tandazo (3), Matias Zegarra (2)
- Red cards: Bernardo Cuesta (1), Jesus Alcantar (1), Lautaro Guzman (1)

Universitario (last 10 games)

- Yellow cards: Jesus Castillo (3), William Riveros (3), Horacio Calcaterra (2)
- Red cards: William Riveros (1)

"👉 Player to be booked prediction: Jeriel De Santis"
De Santis has the highest yellow count for Melgar, indicating a pattern of cautions; his playing style and booking frequency make him a likely target for further discipline in a competitive match.

🔁 Squad depth & rotation preference (last 10 games)

Melgar average nearly four substitutions per game, showing a clear willingness to refresh the team or switch tactics during matches. Universitario are more conservative, making around three changes per match and generally sticking closer to a settled starting XI. Expect Melgar to be more proactive with late-game rotation while Universitario rely more on their starters to see games out.

⚽ Goals & assists by subs

Melgar’s bench has contributed 1 assist and 0 goals across the period (1 assist = 11.1% of the team’s assists, 0% of goals), while Universitario’s substitutes have produced 0 assists and 0 goals (0% of both totals). There is a noticeable gap in bench impact—Melgar’s subs have been slightly useful for chance creation, whereas Universitario’s bench has offered no attacking returns.

🃏 Joker players

Melgar have one clear joker in Jeriel De Santis, who has delivered 1 assist off the bench (0 goals as sub); Universitario have no standout impact jokers. De Santis is the only substitute with a measurable creative impact and could be the go-to late change for an attacking spark.

Joker value bet predictions:
👉 Anytime assist: Jeriel De Santis
He’s the only sub to produce an assist in recent matches and is the likeliest bench option to create a decisive chance if introduced late.

Joker players bets are high risk, high reward because they may not play at all, and if they do, they have less time to make impact on the game.

🚩 Set-pieces (last 10 games)

Melgar and Universitario both generate a decent number of set-piece situations, but Universitario is clearly more active from wide positions and set plays while Melgar contributes fewer overall dead-ball chances; the key difference is Universitario’s higher corner output, which slightly increases their aerial threat in match-defining moments. For prediction purposes, expect Universitario to create more of the set-piece chances that can change the game (corners being the main lever).

📐 Avg. corners per game

Universitario averages 5.79 corners per game versus Melgar’s 4.48, so there’s a visible gap with Universitario more likely to earn attacking wide opportunities; combined, the fixture typically sees just over 10 corners.
👉 Total corners over 9.5

🎯 Avg. free kicks per game

Both teams draw fewer free kicks than the league norm but still pick up a steady stream each match (Melgar 10.56, Universitario 11.24), and a higher-than-average share of those fouls come in the final third—meaning set-piece routines from dangerous positions are likely despite the lower overall totals.

🧑‍🦱 Goals by head

Universitario has a noticeably higher headed-goal share (2 headed goals, 18.18%) than Melgar (1 headed goal, 6.67%), so Universitario poses the greater aerial threat from corners and wide free kicks while Melgar looks less likely to convert via headers.

1X2 Tips

Best tips for all "to win" markets

Fendi

LOST
Melgar vs Universitario
Football / Peru / Liga 1

Universitario not to lose, half stake wins if there is a draw

odds -156
Tip Score: 2.7
Tipster Okwerabright905
Okwerabright905

WON
Melgar vs Universitario
Football / Peru / Liga 1

Melgar will win the match

odds +148
Tip Score: 0.4

BTTS, Over/Under Tips

Best tips for goal markets

Tipster AGORAVAI
AGORAVAI

LOST
Melgar vs Universitario
Football / Peru / Liga 1

There will be less than 2.5 goals in the match

odds -175
Tip Score: 0.0
Not rated
Tipster ProTipster Featured Tips
ProTipster Featured Tips

WON
Melgar vs Universitario
Football / Peru / Liga 1

Both teams will score in the match

odds -105
Tip Score: 0.0
Not rated

Best Bets Today Tips

Top 10 tips for today according to our AI model

Fendi

LOST
Melgar vs Universitario
Football / Peru / Liga 1

Universitario not to lose, half stake wins if there is a draw

odds -156
Tip Score: 2.7
Tipster Okwerabright905
Okwerabright905

WON
Melgar vs Universitario
Football / Peru / Liga 1

Melgar will win the match

odds +148
Tip Score: 0.4

Asian Handicap Tips

Free football betting tips on Asian Handicap from ProTipster users

Fendi

LOST
Melgar vs Universitario
Football / Peru / Liga 1

Universitario not to lose, half stake wins if there is a draw

odds -156
Tip Score: 2.7

FBC Melgar vs Universitario de Deportes Betting Tips

Follow tips from the best tipsters in the ProTipster community

wakio7285

WON
Melgar vs Universitario
Football / Peru / Liga 1

Melgar over 1

odds -128
Tip Score: 0.3
hannahgiwa629

WON
Melgar vs Universitario
Football / Peru / Liga 1

There will be less than 3.5 goals in the match

odds -714
Tip Score: 0.0
Not rated
hannahgiwa629

LOST
Melgar vs Universitario
Football / Peru / Liga 1

The first half will be a draw

odds -108
Tip Score: 0.0
Not rated
Tipster ludwinmarcano68
ludwinmarcano68

LOST
Melgar vs Universitario
Football / Peru / Liga 1

Universitario will win the match

odds +182
Tip Score: 0.0
Not rated
Tipster kemumangata254
kemumangata254

WON
Melgar vs Universitario
Football / Peru / Liga 1

Melgar will win the match

odds +148
Tip Score: 0.0
Not rated
Tipster ProTipster Featured Tips
ProTipster Featured Tips

WON
Melgar vs Universitario
Football / Peru / Liga 1

Melgar win or draw

odds -256
Tip Score: 0.0
Not rated
Tipster ProTipster All Tips
ProTipster All Tips

WON
Melgar vs Universitario
Football / Peru / Liga 1

Both teams will score in the match

odds -105
Tip Score: 0.0
Not rated
Tipster ProTipster All Tips
ProTipster All Tips

WON
Melgar vs Universitario
Football / Peru / Liga 1

Universitario under 1.5

odds -286
Tip Score: 0.0
Not rated
Tipster ProTipster All Tips
ProTipster All Tips

WON
Melgar vs Universitario
Football / Peru / Liga 1

Melgar over 1.5

odds +165
Tip Score: 0.0
Not rated

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📋 Lineups

FBC Melgar Melgar
1 Martinez 3 Silva 4 Pereira 5 Santos 2 Dias 8 Oliveira 6 Fernandes 10 Costa 11 Almeida 9 Rodriguez 7 Lopez 1 Rossi 3 Garcia 4 Torres 5 Moreno 2 Varela 6 Mendez 8 Paqueta 11 Everton 10 Henrique 7 Arrascaeta 9 Pedro
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Universitario Universitario de Deportes

FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes streaks and trends

Team Trend or streak Prediction Odds
Logo The first half ended in a draw in 4 of Universitario's last 5 games (Liga 1). The first half will be a draw -108
Logo There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 7 of Melgar's last 9 games (Liga 1). Over 2.5 +133
Logo There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Universitario's last 5 games (Liga 1). Under 2.5 -175
Logo Both teams scored in 6 of Melgar's last 7 games (Liga 1). BTTS: Yes -105
Logo At most one team scored in 4 of Universitario's last 5 games (Liga 1). BTTS: No -132
Logo Melgar have scored under 1.5 in 6 of their last 7 matches (Liga 1). Home under 1.5 -244
Logo Universitario have scored under 1.5 in 4 of their last 5 matches (Liga 1). Away under 1.5 -286
Logo Melgar have failed to win 6 of their last 7 matches (Liga 1). Away Win or Draw -204
Logo Universitario are undefeated in 18 of their last 20 matches (Liga 1). Away Win or Draw -204
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Last matches

FBC Melgar

2

Win

0

Draw

4

Win

Universitario

19.04.2026 22:15

Melgar 2 : 1 Universitario

›

14.09.2025 20:00

Melgar 1 : 2 Universitario

›

14.04.2025 00:00

Universitario 4 : 1 Melgar

›

01.08.2024 01:00

Melgar 1 : 0 Universitario

›

18.02.2024 01:00

Universitario 2 : 0 Melgar

›

06.08.2023 23:00

Melgar 0 : 1 Universitario

›
FBC Melgar

3

Win

2

Draw

1

Defeat

31.05.2026 16:00

Melgar 3 : 1 Alianza Atletico

›

22.05.2026 20:00

Juan Pablo II College 1 : 1 Melgar

›

16.05.2026 18:00

Melgar 4 : 1 Huancayo

›

10.05.2026 20:15

Comerciantes U. 1 : 1 Melgar

›

03.05.2026 23:00

Melgar 2 : 0 Cajamarca

›

28.04.2026 00:00

Deportivo Garcilaso 1 : 0 Melgar

›
Universitario de Deportes

1

Win

4

Draw

1

Defeat

31.05.2026 01:00

Universitario 2 : 1 Huancayo

›

27.05.2026 00:30

Universitario 0 : 0 Tolima

›

23.05.2026 17:45

Ucv Moquegua 0 : 0 Universitario

›

20.05.2026 22:00

Nacional 0 : 0 Universitario

›

16.05.2026 01:00

Universitario 0 : 1 Atletico Grau

›

12.05.2026 01:30

Sport Boys 0 : 0 Universitario

›

League table - Liga 1 2026, Apertura

Team P W D L PTS
1 Alianza Lima 17 12 4 1 40
2 Los Chankas CYC 17 10 4 3 34
3 Cienciano 17 10 3 4 33
4 Universitario de Deportes 17 8 5 4 29
5 FBC Melgar 17 8 4 5 28
6 Cusco FC 17 8 3 6 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso 17 7 5 5 26
8 Alianza Atletico 17 5 6 6 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos 17 5 6 6 21
10 Asociacion Deportiva Tarma 17 5 5 7 20
11 Sport Boys Association 17 5 5 7 20
12 Sporting Cristal 17 5 4 8 19
13 UTC de Cajamarca 17 4 6 7 18
14 CD Moquegua 17 5 3 9 18
15 FC Cajamarca 17 4 5 8 17
16 Atletico Grau 17 4 4 9 16
17 Sport Huancayo 17 4 4 9 16
18 Juan Pablo II College 17 4 4 9 16