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Borussia Dortmund VS FC Augsburg Football Betting Tips & Predictions

Bundesliga

Dortmund

2 - 0

HT: 1 - 0 | FT: 2 - 0

Augsburg

Dortmund vs Augsburg - Expert Prediction

Editor's Picks

⭐️ Our Tips

Value bet

We think Dortmund have the firepower to turn this into a comfortable win, making a -2 victory a good-value call.
👉 Dortmund to win by at least 2 goal(s) @2.20

Check 1 more tips in our app!

We're facing a key Bundesliga game on March 14 where second‑placed Dortmund — coming off a nervy but important win at Cologne — must keep the pressure on the leaders, while mid‑table Augsburg arrive with mixed form and little to lose, making this more crucial for Dortmund's title hopes than for the visitors.

🤜🤛 Head-to-Head games

The recent H2H picture favours Dortmund overall, though Augsburg have pulled off a couple of surprise wins — in the last 10 meetings Dortmund have 6 wins, 2 draws and Augsburg 2 wins. Their clashes have been open affairs with goals at both ends, so neither side can be written off despite Dortmund’s clear edge in results. Given the trend and Dortmund’s home strength, backing Dortmund to take the win makes sense.

👉 H2H trend bet: Dortmund will win the match @1.4

💡 Key H2H stat

Across their meetings Dortmund have dominated overall — in the last 30 head-to-heads they’ve won 18 times, with 7 draws and just 5 wins for Augsburg (goal difference 71-36).
👉 H2H stat bet: Dortmund will win the match @1.4

🔎 Last H2H match details

The last meeting was a tight affair that Dortmund edged 1-0 thanks to Serhou Guirassy’s strike just before half-time — Dortmund looked the more dangerous side in the first half, earning corners and set-piece chances that ultimately produced the goal. After the break Augsburg chased the game and made several substitutions to try and turn the tide, but most of the second-half momentum still came from Dortmund’s control and tactical changes to protect the lead. Augsburg piled on late pressure in stoppage time with shots that were saved, so while they had chances to equalise, they couldn’t convert and Dortmund held firm to claim the win.

📊 Last 10 H2H games stats

The last 10 H2H meetings show a clear attacking trend: Dortmund won 6, there were 2 draws and Augsburg won 2, so Dortmund have been the more successful side recently. Seven of those ten matches saw both teams score (70%), and six matches finished with more than 2.5 goals (60%), underlining that these fixtures often produce chances and goals for both teams.

Which tv channels show the match live?

ESPN+

🏠 Home team form: Dortmund (last 10 games)

Dortmund are in good attacking form over their last 10 matches, picking up 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats — the trend is broadly positive but with occasional defensive lapses. They’ve been scoring regularly (21 goals in 10 matches) while conceding enough to keep games open and entertaining. Overall this is an upward attacking trend with some inconsistency at the back.
👉 Dortmund total goals prediction: Dortmund over 1.5 @1.43

💡 Key Dortmund stat

Dortmund have been rock-solid at home this season, posting a 9-2-1 record in domestic matches.

👉 Dortmund stat bet: Dortmund will win the match @1.4

🔎 Last Dortmund match details

Dortmund visited 1. FC Cologne and took the lead early, stamping control on the first half before doubling the advantage shortly after the hour to reassert control. Cologne produced a couple of second-half shots that were saved and grabbed a late consolation, but Dortmund had the clearer chances overall and deserved the victory. The team used a 4-2-3-1 shape and fielded a largely full-strength XI with only a few rotated attacking options coming off the bench.

📊 Last 10 Dortmund games stats

Dortmund’s last ten matches have been attack-heavy and high-tempo — they average 2.1 goals scored per game and see plenty of both-team-goal outcomes, so expect open matches. While clean sheets occur, most fixtures go over 1.5 goals and shots on target are consistently high.

- Avg goals scored: 2.1 per match (21 goals in 10 games)
- Record: 6 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses
- BTTS in 60% of matches; over 1.5 goals in 100% of matches

🧳 Away team form: Augsburg (last 10 games)

Augsburg are on an upward trend with five wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 10 matches, showing more consistency in recent weeks. Their games have been open affairs — they average 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game — so attacking threat is real but defensive lapses remain. Overall form suggests confidence going into this fixture rather than heavy rotation.
👉 Augsburg total goals prediction: Augsburg under 2.5 @1.02

💡 Key Augsburg stat

Nearly one-third of FC Augsburg’s goals (around 29%) come in the final 15 minutes of matches, making them especially dangerous late on.

👉 Augsburg stat bet: Augsburg not to lose by more than 1 goal(s) @1.79

🔎 Last Augsburg match details

Augsburg visited RB Leipzig and lost 2-1 after leading at half-time; they struck first before conceding an equaliser around the 76th minute and then a late winner in stoppage time. Augsburg used a 4-2-3-1 shape and fielded a largely first-choice XI with only routine bench changes, indicating a near full-strength selection. The first half belonged to Augsburg as they looked compact and carved chances (including a missed penalty), while the second half saw Leipzig dominate possession and apply sustained pressure that Augsburg struggled to withstand. In the end Augsburg created chances but were unable to hold the lead.

📊 Last 10 Augsburg games stats

Augsburg’s recent fixtures are goal-heavy and competitive: 60% of matches saw both teams score and 90% produced more than 1.5 total goals. They have two clean sheets in ten games and have alternated winning runs with occasional defensive slips, underlining a side that scores regularly but can be vulnerable at the back.

- Avg goals scored: 1.4 per game; conceded: 1.5 per game.
- Both teams to score in 60% of matches (6/10).
- 90% of matches finished with over 1.5 total goals; 60% went over 2.5.

🎯 Goals total prediction

BTTS (both teams to score)

We expect both teams to score. Dortmund have been involved in plenty of fixtures with goals at both ends recently and Augsburg have a clear tendency to find the net in their run of form, while their head‑to‑head meetings frequently produce goals for both sides.
👉 BTTS prediction: Yes @ 1.70

Goals total over / under

We back Over 2.5 goals. Dortmund’s matches often push past the 2.5 mark and the H2H history plus Augsburg’s recent attacking output point toward a three‑goal game rather than a low‑scoring stalemate, so we’re happy to be a bit bold here.
👉 Goals total prediction: Over 2.5 @ 1.53

❌ Missing players

Dortmund

Dortmund are without a couple of midfield contributors — Emre Can has chipped in a goal in the last 10 matches while Carney Chukwuemeka provided an assist. Defensive cover is also reduced with Filippo Mane out long-term.

- Emre Can (midfielder) | 1 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 5 days
- Carney Chukwuemeka (midfielder) | 0 goals, 1 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 6 days
- Filippo Mane (defender) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 35 days

Augsburg

Augsburg’s absences are heavily defensive, with long-term losses to their backline and limited attacking damage on paper — the forward options are also slightly dented despite no recent goal contributions. Jeffrey Gouweleeuw’s extended absence and multiple defensive injuries could force selection changes.

- Jeffrey Gouweleeuw (defender) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 110 days
- Cedric Zesiger (defender) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | other | since 6 days
- Yannik Keitel (midfielder) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 6 days
- Chrislain Matsima (defender) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 56 days
- Uchenna Ogundu (forward) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 6 days

👥 Player stats (last 10 games)

Both teams rely on a clear core of regular starters but use subs regularly to tweak games — Dortmund show a core XI with frequent impact subs, while Augsburg also field a consistent starting group but rotate their attackers more. Dortmund depend heavily on a couple of top scorers and a single main creator, whereas Augsburg spread goals and chances across a few contributors; Dortmund are more efficient in front of goal (≈19% conversion) from fewer overall shots, while Augsburg create more chances but convert at a lower rate (≈12%). Discipline is similar in volume, though Dortmund have the only red card; bookings are concentrated on defenders for Dortmund and spread across defenders/midfielders for Augsburg. Missing/injured: Emre Can, Carney Chukwuemeka and Filippo Mane (Dortmund); Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, Cedric Zesiger, Yannik Keitel, Chrislain Matsima and Uchenna Ogundu (Augsburg).

👀 Key players to watch

Dortmund: Serhou Guirassy is the clear finishing focal point and the most likely anytime scorer; Julian Ryerson is the main creative outlet with the highest assist tally and influence from full‑back. Emre Can and Carney Chukwuemeka are injured and should be excluded from attacking-market calls.

Augsburg: Alexis Claude‑Maurice is their main chance creator and scoring threat from midfield, while Michael Gregoritsch offers a reliable secondary goal threat. Cedric Zesiger and other listed absentees are currently missing.

Dortmund (last 10 games)

- Starter 11 games: Felix Nmecha (10), Gregor Kobel (10), Serhou Guirassy (9)
- Shots & goals: Serhou Guirassy (7 / 20), Maximilian Beier (4 / 15), Nico Schlotterbeck (2 / 9)
- Assists: Julian Ryerson (6), Maximilian Beier (2), Julian Brandt (2)

Augsburg (last 10 games)

- Starter 11 games: Robin Fellhauer (10), Keven Schlotterbeck (10), Finn Dahmen (10)
- Shots & goals: Alexis Claude‑Maurice (4 / 31), Michael Gregoritsch (3 / 10), Rodrigo Ribeiro (2 / 13)
- Assists: Alexis Claude‑Maurice (3), Fabian Rieder (2), Noahkai Banks (1)

Our player markets predictions:
👉 Anytime goalscorer: Serhou Guirassy
👉 Anytime assist: Julian Ryerson

Why: Guirassy is Dortmund’s main finishing outlet and leads the goals chart with strong minutes and a high shot‑conversion; Ryerson supplies the most assists and consistently creates chances from the flank, making him the likeliest provider.

🟨🟥 Yellow and red cards

Expect a competitive game with a fair number of bookings — Augsburg have slightly more yellows in total but no reds, while Dortmund have one red and several defenders with multiple bookings. Discipline tends to hit defensive players on both sides, with one standout aggressive defender for each team; injuries to some squad members do not affect the main carded names.

Totals: Dortmund 21 yellow, 1 red. Augsburg 22 yellow, 0 red.

Dortmund (last 10 games)

- Yellow cards: Ramy Bensebaini (5), Fabio Silva (3), Nico Schlotterbeck (2)
- Red cards: Nico Schlotterbeck (1)

Augsburg (last 10 games)

- Yellow cards: Noahkai Banks (4), Han‑Noah Massengo (2), Kristijan Jakic (2)
- Red cards:

👉 Player to be booked prediction: Ramy Bensebaini

Why: Bensebaini leads the booking charts for Dortmund and plays high‑risk defensive and attacking roles that increase his exposure to cautions; he’s consistently collected yellows and is the most likely candidate to pick up another booking in a heated match.

🔁 Squad depth & rotation preference (last 10 games)

Both teams make regular changes, with Dortmund averaging 4.6 substitutions per game and Augsburg slightly more active at 4.9. That indicates neither coach is rigid about a fixed XI and both are comfortable introducing fresh legs or tactical tweaks if the game demands it. Expect late-game changes and the possibility of momentum shifts from the bench.

⚽ Goals & assists by subs

Across the last 10 games Dortmund’s substitutes provided 2 goals and 3 assists (10% of their goals and 18.75% of their assists), while Augsburg’s bench scored 3 goals and supplied 2 assists (21.43% of goals and 22.22% of assists); Augsburg’s bench has been noticeably more productive in scoring terms, representing a bigger share of their attacking output.

🃏 Joker players

Augsburg have a clear super‑sub in Rexhbecaj, who has scored 2 goals after coming off the bench in the last 10 games, while Michael Gregoritsch (1 goal, 1 assist) is also a strong impact option; for Dortmund there are useful contributors with 1 goal/1 assist each but no single substitute clearly dominates the numbers.

Joker value bet predictions:
👉 Anytime goalscorer: Rexhbecaj
Rexhbecaj’s two goals as a substitute underline his ability to change the game off the bench, making him a realistic late-game scoring threat.

Joker players bets are high risk, high reward because they may not play at all, and if they do, they have less time to make impact on the game.

🧑‍⚖️ Referee impact (last 10 games) - Dankert, Bastian

Dankert is a fairly standard Bundesliga official who keeps matches flowing without excessive stoppages, showing foul and booking rates almost identical to the league norm; the clearest difference is his tendency to award more penalties than the average referee. That higher penalty frequency (0.22 vs 0.00 overall) is the standout stat and slightly raises the chance of a match-defining spot-kick affecting the result.

💢 Avg. fouls per game

Dankert averages 19.07 fouls per game versus the league average of 19.16, essentially matching the competition standard and suggesting no meaningful change to tempo or stoppage frequency compared with a typical Bundesliga match. With both figures around 19 fouls, expect a normal level of interruptions and fewer surprises on fouls volume.
Fouls total prediction: 👉 Total fouls under 20.5

🟨🟥 Avg. yellow and red cards per game

His carding pattern is marginally lighter than average: about 3.56 yellows + 0.04 reds (≈3.60 total) versus the Bundesliga mean of 3.61 yellows + 0.08 reds (≈3.69 total), so booking behavior is effectively in line with the league with a tiny tendency to avoid dismissals. This suggests a typical likelihood of cautions but a slightly reduced risk of a red-card sending-off changing the game.
Booking points prediction: 👉 Total cards under 4.5

🥅 Avg. penalty shots per game

Dankert produces penalties more often than his peers, averaging 0.22 penalties per game compared with an overall 0.00, which increases the chance of a spot-kick occurring even if penalties remain uncommon. That elevated penalty frequency nudges match dynamics toward greater caution in the box from defenders.
Penalty value bet: 👉 At least 1 penalty given: NO

🚩 Set-pieces (last 10 games)

Both sides generate slightly more set-piece activity than the Bundesliga average, with Augsburg edging Dortmund on corners while Dortmund wins a bigger share of final-third free kicks; this points to a game with several dead-ball moments and some crossing into the box. Key difference: Augsburg wins more corners overall but Dortmund gets a higher proportion of offensive free kicks — expect dangerous deliveries from both but slightly more corner volume from Augsburg. This increases the likelihood of set-piece chances affecting the scoreline (corners especially).

📐 Avg. corners per game

Augsburg average 5.42 corners per game versus Dortmund’s 4.68, so total corner volume should be a touch above league norm but not hugely one-sided.
👉 Total corners over 9.5

🎯 Avg. free kicks per game

Both teams concede/draw a lot of free kicks (Dortmund 10.53, Augsburg 9.90), with Dortmund producing a higher share from the final third — meaning more dangerous dead-ball opportunities close to goal for Dortmund and plenty of set-piece routines overall. There is a visible difference in offensive-area free kicks favoring Dortmund.

🧑‍🦱 Goals by head

Neither side produced headed goals in the last 10 matches (0 each), so there’s no evidence of recent reliance on aerial finishes from set pieces and no clear difference between the teams in that regard.

Team / Tournament Expert Tips

Tips from Tipsters with high yield for specific tournament or team

Tipster Sir X
Sir X

Tournament expert

LOST

There will be more than 2.5 goals in the match

odds -175
Tip Score: 7.3
Excellent
Tipster BoyInSpace
BoyInSpace

Team expert

WON

Dortmund will win first half

odds +105
Tip Score: 7.0
Excellent

Borussia Dortmund vs FC Augsburg InPlay & Live Tips

Best tips for live matches

Dortmund will win the match

odds -100000 Live
Tip Score: 5.6
Good

Dortmund to win, half stakes win if Dortmund win by 1

odds -417 Live
Tip Score: 2.9

Tips from In Form Tipsters

Tips from Tipsters with at least x3 tips won streak.

Dortmund will win the match

odds -182
Tip Score: 2.6

Dortmund over 1.5

odds -196
Tip Score: 1.2

1X2 Tips

Best tips for all "to win" markets

Dortmund will win the match

odds -182
Tip Score: 7.2
Excellent

Dortmund will win first half

odds +105
Tip Score: 7.1
Excellent

BTTS, Over/Under Tips

Best tips for goal markets

Tipster Sir X
Sir X

Tournament expert

LOST

There will be more than 2.5 goals in the match

odds -175
Tip Score: 7.3
Excellent
Cyril Jasmine

Tournament expert

LOST

There will be more than 3 goals in the match

odds -122
Tip Score: 6.2
Good

Victor Prediction Tips

Teams to win betting predictions

Dortmund will win the match

odds -182
Tip Score: 7.2
Excellent

Dortmund will win the match

odds -182
Tip Score: 6.9
Good

Both teams to score tips (BTTS tips)

Best BTTS predictions from our tipsters

Both teams will score in the match

odds -161
Tip Score: 1.1

Best Bets Today Tips

Top 10 tips for today according to our AI model

Tipster Sir X
Sir X

Tournament expert

LOST

There will be more than 2.5 goals in the match

odds -175
Tip Score: 7.3
Excellent

Dortmund will win the match

odds -182
Tip Score: 7.2
Excellent

Borussia Dortmund vs FC Augsburg Betting Tips

Follow tips from the best tipsters in the ProTipster community

Dortmund will win the match

odds -182
Tip Score: 6.8
Good

📋 Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Dortmund
1 Martinez 3 Silva 4 Pereira 5 Santos 2 Dias 8 Oliveira 6 Fernandes 10 Costa 11 Almeida 9 Rodriguez 7 Lopez 1 Rossi 3 Garcia 4 Torres 5 Moreno 2 Varela 6 Mendez 8 Paqueta 11 Everton 10 Henrique 7 Arrascaeta 9 Pedro
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Lineups are only available in the ProTipster app!

Augsburg FC Augsburg

Borussia Dortmund - FC Augsburg streaks and trends

Team Trend or streak Prediction Odds
Logo Dortmund have won 7 of their last 9 matches (Bundesliga). Home Win -182
Logo Augsburg have won 5 of their last 7 matches (Bundesliga). Away Win +400
Logo matchFact.teamToWinFirstHalf.homeWon.withMissing matchFact.prediction.teamToWinFirstHalf.home +105
Logo Dortmund are undefeated in 17 of their last 18 matches (Bundesliga). Home Win or Draw -588
Logo Augsburg have not drawn their last 7 matches (Bundesliga). Away Win or Lose -556
Logo There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 13 of Dortmund's last 20 games (Bundesliga). Under 3.5 -152
Logo There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Augsburg's last 5 games (Bundesliga). Under 2.5 +138
Logo Dortmund have scored under 2.5 in 4 of their last 5 matches (Bundesliga). Home under 2.5 -200
Logo Augsburg have scored under 1.5 in 12 of their last 19 matches (Bundesliga). Away under 1.5 -303
Logo Both teams scored in 5 of Dortmund's last 6 games (Bundesliga). BTTS: Yes -161
Logo Both teams scored in 6 of Augsburg's last 9 games (Bundesliga). BTTS: Yes -161
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Dortmund vs Augsburg - Community Prediction

Community's Picks

-> Dortmund will win the match @1.48
-> Both teams will score in the match @1.67
-> There will be more than 2.5 goals in the match @1.53
Dortmund will win the match (odd: 1.48), Both teams will score in the match (odd: 1.67) and There will be more than 2.5 goals in the match (odd: 1.53) give a balanced shot with a nod to home strength and a game that's expected to light up the board. With Dortmund's attacking momentum and the chance for both flanks to find the net, this combo looks like a smart play for a dynamic showdown.

Dortmund - Community Tips Summary

Dortmund is clearly the crowd’s pick to win, with plenty of tips backing a victory as the home team. The community sees a match that should hit over 2.5 goals, underlining their confidence in Dortmund's knack for putting on a scoring show while keeping it comfortably ahead.

Augsburg - Community Tips Summary

Augsburg doesn't get a lot of buzz from the tipsters – the few selections hint they might contribute a goal here and there, but nothing is set in stone. The low tip count means the community isn't really banking on them making a strong impact in the match.
This article is a summary of 49 tips posted by ProTipster community at 12 hours before the game starts. Current number of tips posted may be different.

Comfortable win expected for Dortmund

Dortmund are clearly getting the backing here with a strong majority expecting them to take control over Augsburg. A close match isn’t really on the cards with tipsters giving a big nod to the hosts.

What happens in 1st half? Dortmund to take early charge

Only a couple of tips point out that Dortmund will lead in the opening period, so there isn’t an overwhelming opinion on a first-half breakthrough. The early pace might see Dortmund press to impose their will, but overall the community isn’t too wild about what happens before the break.

How many goals total will we see? 2.5+ goals are in the mix

For overall goals, there’s some focus on the tally coming in above 2.5. The bulk of the goals total opinions lean on that figure and a few extras hint at more than 3 or even 3.5 goals. There’s also a nod to both sides finding the net, though the support is modest. The vibe is that the game should offer a decent number of goals without being an absolute goal-fest.

Who will score and how many? Dortmund to fire up the scoreboard

The expectation is for Dortmund to light it up with more than 1.5 goals based on several tips. Meanwhile, Augsburg’s scoring is only mentioned in a couple of selections. In short, the smart money sees the home team doing most of the damage on the scoresheet with the visitors only chipping in occasionally.

Who will win? Dortmund's the clear favourite

The overwhelming majority of bets lean towards Dortmund winning the match outright, with a single tip keeping a draw in the picture via double chance. It’s a near-unanimous backing for the hosts, underscoring their status as the favourites. The message is clear and simple: Dortmund are expected to come away with the win.

By how many goals? A win by two seems likely

When it comes to the margin, several lines suggest a two-goal difference in Dortmund’s favour. The handicap bets back the idea of a comfortable win without being overzealous. Although the number of tips on this aspect isn’t huge, the sentiment is that Dortmund should secure a victory by at least a two-goal margin.

Last matches

League table - Bundesliga 25/26

Team P W D L PTS
1 Bayern Munich 34 28 5 1 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 22 7 5 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 20 5 9 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 18 8 8 62
5 TSG Hoffenheim 34 18 7 9 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen 34 17 8 9 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 13 8 13 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 11 11 12 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 12 7 15 43
10 FSV Mainz 34 10 10 14 40
11 Union Berlin 34 10 9 15 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 9 11 14 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 9 11 14 38
14 1. FC Cologne 34 7 11 16 32
15 Werder Bremen 34 8 8 18 32
16 VFL Wolfsburg 34 7 8 19 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 34 6 8 20 26
18 FC St. Pauli 34 6 8 20 26