Football England Premier League
Predictions Lineups Stats

Arsenal FC VS Burnley FC Football Betting Tips & Predictions

Premier League

Arsenal

1 - 0

HT: 1 - 0 | FT: 1 - 0

Burnley

Arsenal vs Burnley - Expert Prediction

Editor's Picks

⭐️ Our Tips

Team to win

We expect Arsenal to control the game at the Emirates and nick the win as Burnley arrive blunt on the road. The Gunners' home form and superior squad quality make them the clear favourites.
👉 Arsenal will win the match @1.1

Check 10 more tips in our app!

We head into Arsenal vs Burnley knowing the Gunners could seal the Premier League title at the Emirates if City stumble, while Burnley battle to stay up, making this a high-stakes clash that could reshape both ends of the table.

⏱️ Half-time update

⏱️ It's 0-0 at the break. Here are our live predictions for the 2nd half:

🏆 Team to win the 2nd half: Home @2.10

🎯 Goals total in the 2nd half: Over 0.5 @1.25

💡 Reasoning: The hosts controlled the opening 45 with the bulk of possession and the cleaner shots, while the visitors sat deep and produced nothing on target.

PRO

Half time updates are only available in our app. Download it to see them!

🤜🤛 Head-to-Head games

Arsenal have dominated the recent rivalry, winning most encounters while Burnley have struggled to respond — the trend favours Arsenal who look steadily stronger in these matchups. Across the last 10 meetings Arsenal won 6, drew 3 and lost 1, with many games finishing low‑scoring and one‑sided.

💡 Key H2H stat

In the last 23 head‑to‑head meetings Arsenal have won 17 times, outscoring Burnley 44-12 overall.

🔎 Last H2H match details

Arsenal took control early and did the damage in the first half, opening the scoring around the 13th minute and adding a second before half‑time to lead 2-0. The opening 45 minutes saw Arsenal create the clearer chances and dominate possession, while Burnley offered little threat. The second half was more subdued, with Arsenal managing the game through substitutions and Burnley pushing late but failing to convert pressure into goals. Burnley forced a couple of late saves in stoppage time but could not break down Arsenal’s defence. Overall Arsenal had the upper hand throughout and converted the better opportunities to secure the win.

📊 Last 10 H2H games stats

The last 10 meetings have been largely Arsenal affairs — 6 wins for Arsenal, 3 draws and a single Burnley victory — and the fixtures tend to be low on goals. Six of those ten matches finished under 2.5 goals and in 60% of games both teams did not score, underlining Arsenal’s defensive control and Burnley’s recent struggles to find the net.

Which tv channels show the match live?

Telemundo Universo USA Network

🏠 Home team form: Arsenal (last 10 games)

Arsenal are in a generally positive run, picking up 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 10 matches, with more clean sheets than high-scoring displays. Their results show a rising defensive consistency despite a modest attacking return — 11 goals in those 10 games (1.1 per match). Overall the trend is steadying rather than explosive: reliable at the back, conservative in front of goal.

💡 Key Arsenal stat

Arsenal's home record this season stands at 14 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses.

🔎 Last Arsenal match details

Arsenal won 1-0 away at West Ham United, eventually breaking a tight game with a late goal around the 82nd minute. Arsenal dominated possession and created the clearer openings across both halves, although they struggled to finish chances in the first half and had to wait until late to convert. The team lined up in a 4-2-3-1 and looked largely full-strength, with a settled defensive and midfield core while rotation was used across the attacking positions. Pressure was applied for long spells and, after spurning earlier opportunities, Arsenal deservedly claimed the victory.

📊 Last 10 Arsenal games stats

Across the last 10 matches Arsenal have kept 6 clean sheets (60%) and averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game, pointing to a strong defensive phase. Matches have generally been low-scoring — all 10 fixtures were under 3.5 goals and 6 of 10 were under 2.5 — with 40% producing both teams scoring.

👥 Lineup update

👥 The lineups are announced and analyzed: Home XI 87% strength · Away XI 92% strength. Here are our tips for the 1st half:

🏆 Team to win the 1st half: Draw @1.97

🎯 Goals total in the 1st half: Over 0.5 @1.47

Reasoning: The XIs are broadly what we expected — the away side is closer to full strength while the home is a bit rotated, but neither side threw out major surprises.

PRO

Lineup updates are only available in our app. Download it to see them!

🧳 Away team form: Burnley (last 10 games)

Burnley’s recent form is poor and trending downwards: in their last 10 matches they have failed to win (0-3-7 W-D-L) and have struggled for goals, averaging under one scored per game. Defensively they have been vulnerable, conceding frequently which has produced several heavy defeats. Overall this is a side struggling for consistency and points.

💡 Key Burnley stat

Burnley’s away form this season has been poor: just 2 wins, 3 draws and 13 defeats on the road.

🔎 Last Burnley match details

Burnley drew 2-2 at Turf Moor against Aston Villa in a game that saw an end-to-end flow: Burnley struck early to lead, Villa levelled before half-time and then briefly took the lead in the second half before Burnley equalised again. The match was balanced with both teams having clear chances and periods of control; Villa enjoyed sustained spells of pressure late in the first half and early in the second, but Burnley matched that intensity and created just as many opportunities. Burnley deployed a mostly settled starting XI with several regulars in place and only a couple of rotational changes, lining up in a 4-4-2. In short, Burnley held their own but couldn’t convert enough chances to secure victory.

📊 Last 10 Burnley games stats

Across the last 10 games Burnley scored 9 and conceded 22 (0.9 goals scored, 2.2 conceded per game), keeping only one clean sheet. Matches have often been high on goals and drama: 60% featured both teams scoring and 80% had over 1.5 total goals, underlining defensive frailties paired with limited attacking output.

🎯 Goals total prediction

BTTS (both teams to score)

Unlikely. Arsenal’s home form is very tight — around 70% clean sheets at home recently and they’ve kept several shutouts in a row — while Burnley arrive with a blunt away attack (about 0.9 goals per away game and multiple goalless away results). Head-to-head and recent runs also lean toward only one side finding the net.

Goals total over / under

Under 2.5. Both sides have produced low totals lately: Arsenal’s home matches are largely under-2.5/under-3.5 and Burnley’s games average roughly 3.1 overall but they score under 1.5 in most recent outings away, pushing this tie toward a modest scoreline. Given Arsenal’s defensive streak and Burnley’s struggles to score on the road, we expect a sub-2.5 game.

❌ Missing players

Arsenal

Arsenal have a few defensive and midfield absences but none of the missing players have registered goals or assists in the last 10 games, so the impact is more on squad depth and defensive cover than attacking output. The Doubtful tag for Riccardo Calafiori leaves one spot uncertain in the back line.
- Mikel Merino (midfielder) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 37 days
- Ben White (defender) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 3 days
- Riccardo Calafiori (defender) | 0 goals, 0 assists | doubtful ❓ | injured 🩼 | since 4 days

Burnley

Burnley are missing several defenders and a midfielder who likewise have no goal or assist contributions in the past 10 games, suggesting selection headaches are mainly defensive. Multiple long-term absences could force rotation or tactical tweaks at the back.
- Josh Cullen (midfielder) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 37 days
- Connor Roberts (defender) | 0 goals, 0 assists | doubtful ❓ | injured 🩼 | since 6 days
- Axel Tuanzebe (defender) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 15 days
- Louis Beyer (defender) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 17 days

👥 Player stats (last 10 games)

Both teams rely on a clear core of regular starters but show different patterns: Arsenal field a consistent spine of defenders and midfielders while rotating more in attack, whereas Burnley have several ever-present starters but use substitutes more frequently across attacking positions. Substitutions are used moderately by both — Arsenal’s rotation is more tactical in the forward lines, Burnley mix starters and bench options often in wide/attacking roles. Arsenal’s goals are concentrated in one main scorer while Burnley also lean on a single top scorer; Burnley take more shots overall but convert at a similar rate, and Burnley are the more aggressive side with more bookings. Injuries: Arsenal missing Mikel Merino (injured), Ben White (injured) and Riccardo Calafiori (doubtful). Burnley missing Josh Cullen, Connor Roberts (doubtful), Axel Tuanzebe and Louis Beyer (all injured/missing).

👀 Key players to watch

Arsenal — Viktor Gyokeres stands out as the focal point in attack with the most goals and a high shot count; Kai Havertz offers goal threat plus the most assists among outfield players. Note Ben White is currently listed as injured and Riccardo Calafiori doubtful, so they may be unavailable.
Burnley — Zian Flemming is their primary scorer and shot taker, while Jaidon Anthony supplies minutes and attacking returns as a consistent starter. Axel Tuanzebe is listed as injured and will be unavailable.

Arsenal (last 10 games)

- Starter 11 games: Gabriel Magalhaes (10), Declan Rice (9), William Saliba (9)
- Shots & goals: Viktor Gyokeres (5 goals / 19 shots), Kai Havertz (2 goals / 7 shots), Bukayo Saka (2 goals / 7 shots)
- Assists: Kai Havertz (2), Viktor Gyokeres (1), Bukayo Saka (1)

Burnley (last 10 games)

- Starter 11 games: Jaidon Anthony (10), Maxime Esteve (10), Martin Dubravka (9)
- Shots & goals: Zian Flemming (5 goals / 22 shots), Jaidon Anthony (2 goals / 20 shots), Loum Tchaouna (1 goal / 6 shots)
- Assists: Hannibal Mejbri (3), Jaidon Anthony (1), Lyle Foster (1)

🟨🟥 Yellow and red cards

Burnley are notably more aggressive over the last 10 games, accumulating more yellows and recording the only red; cards are concentrated in a few midfield/defensive players rather than spread evenly. Arsenal’s bookings are spread across the squad with no reds and fewer repeat offenders, so they are the less card-prone side. Expect a moderately physical match with Burnley more likely to pick up cautions; key cautioned midfielders could be targeted for bookings.

Arsenal (last 10 games)

- Yellow cards: Gabriel Martinelli (2), Cristhian Mosquera (2), Gabriel Magalhaes (1)
- Red cards:

Burnley (last 10 games)

- Yellow cards: Hannibal Mejbri (3), Bashir Humphreys (3), Josh Laurent (2)
- Red cards: Josh Laurent (1)

👉 Player to be booked prediction: Hannibal Mejbri
Mejbri is a central creative midfielder who already carries multiple bookings and is heavily involved in playmaking and challenges; his role puts him in situations where officials hand out cautions, making him a strong candidate to be booked again.

🔁 Squad depth & rotation preference (last 10 games)

Arsenal have effectively stuck with the same starting XI (0.0 subs per game), indicating a very settled selection and little in‑match personnel tinkering. Burnley average 2.3 subs per game, so they are noticeably more likely to bring on fresh legs and alter tactics during matches. Expect Arsenal to rely on their starting plan while Burnley are the side more likely to chase changes with substitutions late on.

⚽ Goals & assists by subs

Arsenal’s bench supplied 2 goals and 2 assists, accounting for 18.2% of their goals and 28.6% of their assists, showing the subs have contributed a meaningful share despite limited rotation. Burnley’s replacements delivered 0 goals and 1 assist (0% of goals, 14.3% of assists), a much smaller impact — the difference in bench productivity is clear.

🃏 Joker players

No single Arsenal joker clearly stands out (two players have 1 goal each as subs and two others have 1 sub‑assist each), so Arsenal’s impact from the bench is shared rather than driven by one super‑sub. For Burnley, James Ward‑Prowse is the main sub contributor with 1 assist off the bench, making him the most likely late‑game source of creative impact — consider him for assist markets given his proven sub‑assist in this sample.

🧑‍⚖️ Referee impact (last 10 games) - Tierney, Paul

Paul Tierney presents a relatively low-intervention style over the last 10 games, allowing more continuous play and favoring teams that rely on pace and counters. Compared with the Premier League average, Tierney awards noticeably fewer fouls (16.69 vs 21.66), issues slightly fewer yellows (3.74 vs 3.99) and far fewer reds (0.05 vs 0.09), while being a bit more willing to award penalties (0.15 vs 0.00); the standout point for match predictions is the lower foul count, which tends to preserve tempo and reduce set-piece scoring opportunities.

💢 Avg. fouls per game

Tierney averages 16.69 fouls per game versus the league average of 21.66, a clear reduction that indicates less disruption and more rhythm for open, counter-based play. The difference is visible and suggests fewer stoppages and less reliance on set-piece situations.
Fouls total prediction: 👉 Total fouls under 18.5

🟨🟥 Avg. yellow and red cards per game

Tierney issues slightly fewer yellow cards (3.74 vs 3.99) and fewer reds (0.05 vs 0.09) than the league average, implying players can push a bit harder before being booked and that outright dismissals are less likely. Expect marginally more composed play from booked players, with a lower probability of a sending-off changing the game.

🥅 Avg. penalty shots per game

While Tierney gives fewer fouls overall, he shows a higher tendency to award penalties (0.15 vs 0.00), so attackers who drive into the box may still be rewarded; in short, fewer general fouls but a slightly elevated chance of spot-kicks.

🚩 Set-pieces (last 10 games)

Arsenal dominate the set-piece picture compared with Burnley, drawing more corners and a much higher share of final-third free kicks, which makes them the clearer source of set-piece danger in this matchup; Burnley are noticeably quieter from dead-ball situations. For match prediction the standout is Arsenal’s higher rate of offensive free kicks — they’re the likelier side to fashion set-piece chances.

📐 Avg. corners per game

Arsenal average 5.43 corners per game vs Burnley’s 3.97, so Arsenal win the corners battle but the overall total between them is modest. There is a visible difference favoring Arsenal, and a sensible market play is:
👉 Total corners under 9.5

🎯 Avg. free kicks per game

Both teams concede fewer free kicks than the league-wide match average, but Arsenal see more free kicks overall (10.89) and a much higher share from the final third (27.8% vs Burnley’s 9.9%), meaning Arsenal should generate more dangerous set-piece deliveries into the box. The key gap is Arsenal’s superior frequency of offensive-area free kicks, which increases their chances from routines close to goal.

🧑‍🦱 Goals by head

Neither side registered headed goals in the last 10 games, so neither looks to rely on aerial finishing from set pieces right now; there’s no meaningful difference between them on headed-goal threat.

High Odds Tips

Tips and predictions with odds greater than 2.5

Burnley will win the match

odds +3000
Tip Score: 4.2
Good

The first half will be a draw

odds +228
Tip Score: 3.4

Arsenal FC vs Burnley FC InPlay & Live Tips

Best tips for live matches

Arsenal will win the match

odds -100000 Live
Tip Score: 4.5
Good

Correct score regular time: 2:0

odds +700 Live
Tip Score: 4.3
Good

Tips from In Form Tipsters

Tips from Tipsters with at least x3 tips won streak.

Arsenal under 3.5

odds -182
Tip Score: 0.1

Arsenal over 2.5

odds -161
Tip Score: 0.0
Not rated

1X2 Tips

Best tips for all "to win" markets

Arsenal to win by at least 3 goal(s)

odds -104
Tip Score: 6.4
Good

Burnley will win the match

odds +3000
Tip Score: 4.2
Good

BTTS, Over/Under Tips

Best tips for goal markets

There will be less than 2.5 goals in the match

odds +194
Tip Score: 2.5

There will be less than 3.5 goals in the match

odds -110
Tip Score: 2.1

Victor Prediction Tips

Teams to win betting predictions

Burnley will win the match

odds +3000
Tip Score: 4.2
Good

Arsenal will win the match

odds -833
Tip Score: 3.5

Both teams to score tips (BTTS tips)

Best BTTS predictions from our tipsters

Both teams will score in the match

odds +155
Tip Score: 1.7

Best Bets Today Tips

Top 10 tips for today according to our AI model

Arsenal to win by at least 3 goal(s)

odds -104
Tip Score: 6.4
Good

Arsenal will win the match

odds -100000 Live
Tip Score: 4.5
Good

Must Win Team Tips

Teams to win with at least 80% probability according to bookmakers

Arsenal will win the match

odds -833
Tip Score: 3.5

Arsenal will win the match

odds -833
Tip Score: 3.1

Sure Bet Tips

Tips with at least 80% probability according to bookmakers

Arsenal will win the match

odds -833
Tip Score: 3.5

Arsenal will win the match

odds -833
Tip Score: 3.1

Asian Handicap Tips

Free football betting tips on Asian Handicap from ProTipster users

Burnley not to lose by margin of 3 or more, half stake wins if Burnley lose by 2

odds +113
Tip Score: 3.9

📋 Lineups

Arsenal FC Arsenal
1 Martinez 3 Silva 4 Pereira 5 Santos 2 Dias 8 Oliveira 6 Fernandes 10 Costa 11 Almeida 9 Rodriguez 7 Lopez 1 Rossi 3 Garcia 4 Torres 5 Moreno 2 Varela 6 Mendez 8 Paqueta 11 Everton 10 Henrique 7 Arrascaeta 9 Pedro
PRO

Lineups are only available in the ProTipster app!

Burnley Burnley FC

Arsenal FC - Burnley FC streaks and trends

Team Trend or streak Prediction Odds
Logo Arsenal have not drawn their last 9 matches (Premier League). Home Win or Lose -1429
Logo Burnley have failed to win their last 10 matches (Premier League). Home Win or Draw -100000
Logo There have been under 3.5 goals scored in Arsenal's last 8 games (Premier League). Under 3.5 -110
Logo There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 16 of Burnley's last 18 games (Premier League). Over 1.5 -1667
Logo At most one team scored in 5 of Arsenal's last 7 games (Premier League). BTTS: No -217
Logo Arsenal have scored under 1.5 in 4 of their last 5 matches (Premier League). Home under 1.5 +380
Logo Burnley have scored under 1.5 in 7 of their last 8 matches (Premier League). Away under 1.5 -3333
Logo Arsenal have won 7 of their last 9 matches (Premier League). Home Win -833
Logo Burnley have lost 5 of their last 6 matches (Premier League). Home Win -833
PRO

Top-rated trends are only available in the app!

Download ProTipster app

Arsenal vs Burnley - Community Prediction

Community's Picks

-> Arsenal to win, draw no bet @1.02
-> There will be more than 1.5 goals in the match @1.05
Arsenal to win, draw no bet at 1.02 offers a safe bet as the community heavily backs Arsenal's win, making it a strong, low-risk pick. There will be more than 1.5 goals in the match at 1.05 also adds value since a few extra cuts in on the action are anticipated without much fuss.

Arsenal - Community Tips Summary

The community is all in on Arsenal as clear favourites with a whopping 14 tips backing their win, showing strong confidence in their ability to outclass Burnley. While there’s some chatter about first-half action and goal tally specifics, the main vibe is that Arsenal will dominate the match.

Burnley - Community Tips Summary

Burnley's got just a few flickering hints from the community – only 3 tips for a win, and a couple for a solid handicap show. The general vibe is that punters aren't putting much work into backing Burnley, so they're mostly seen as the underdog with a long shot rather than a formidable threat.
This article is a summary of 60 tips posted by ProTipster community at 12 hours before the game starts. Current number of tips posted may be different.

Comfortable win expected for Arsenal

Arsenal are clearly the favourites here with a strong backing for a win, even though a few tips back Burnley in different outcomes. The game is tipped to lean in Arsenal’s favor.

What happens in 1st half? Arsenal to start well

There aren’t too many first-half tips so the picture stays a bit vague. A few folks expect Arsenal to take control early and lead by halftime, and there’s some talk about more than 1.5 goals in the opening period. Overall, the community hints that Arsenal should be firing first, but doesn’t put too much pressure on the opening period.

How many goals total will we see? Around 3 logged

Goals total tips are split into over and under outcomes. There is a slight lean towards a higher scoring match with a cluster of tips expecting more than 2.5 goals, yet there are opposing views with predictions for fewer goals. With only a handful of tips in this area, the call is not very strong but suggests that around 3 goals might be in the air.

Who will score and how many? Arsenal should light it up

The majority of scoring tips point to Arsenal finding the net, with several outcomes suggesting they could score over 1.5 or over 2.5 goals. Meanwhile, Burnley is only nudged with a small bet for scoring above 0.5 goals. Overall, the community leans towards Arsenal doing the heavy lifting upfront when it comes to goals.

Who will win? Arsenal are the clear favourites

The win market tips are majorly backed by those expecting an Arsenal win – there are 14 tips for that compared to just a few for a Burnley win or a draw. Even the double chance bet includes Arsenal. The overwhelming sentiment is that Arsenal will secure the win.

By how many goals? A two-goal gap is on the cards

Handicap tips on the winning margin are low in volume but tilt slightly towards an Arsenal win by at least 2 goals. Some outcomes hint at a 3-goal margin too, but the overall call is weak due to the limited number of tips. The message is that if Arsenal win, it could be by a comfortable margin of around two goals.

Last matches

League table - Premier League 25/26

Team P W D L PTS
1 Arsenal FC 38 26 7 5 85
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 78
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 71
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 65
5 Liverpool FC 38 17 9 12 60
6 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 57
7 Sunderland AFC 38 14 12 12 54
8 Brighton & Hove Albion 38 14 11 13 53
9 Brentford FC 38 14 11 13 53
10 Chelsea FC 38 14 10 14 52
11 Fulham FC 38 15 7 16 52
12 Newcastle United 38 14 7 17 49
13 Everton FC 38 13 10 15 49
14 Leeds United 38 11 14 13 47
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 45
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur 38 10 11 17 41
18 West Ham United 38 10 9 19 39
19 Burnley FC 38 4 10 24 22
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 3 11 24 20