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Brighton & Hove Albion VS Liverpool FC Football Betting Tips & Predictions

Premier League

Brighton

2 - 1

HT: 1 - 1 | FT: 2 - 1

Liverpool

Brighton vs Liverpool - Expert Prediction

Editor's Picks

⭐️ Our Tips

Value bet

We think Liverpool will score at least twice away given their recent attacking form and Brighton's defensive dips, so the price is generous.
👉 Liverpool over 1.5 goals @ 1.92

Check 1 more tips in our app!

On March 21 we face a big Premier League test as Liverpool’s recent cup form meets Brighton’s push for league momentum — both sides need points, so expect a high‑stakes, hard‑fought clash.

🤜🤛 Head-to-Head games

Recent meetings have been entertaining and high‑scoring, with Liverpool holding the edge while Brighton have not been pushovers at home — in the last 10 H2H fixtures Liverpool won 5, Brighton won 3 and 2 finished level. Goals have been a consistent feature, so expect open play rather than a low‑scoring slog.
👉 H2H trend bet: Liverpool will win the match @ 2.2

💡 Key H2H stat

Across their history Brighton have managed just 4 wins from the last 22 meetings with Liverpool, who have taken 14 victories and outscored Brighton 49-26 — a clear H2H advantage for the Reds.
👉 H2H stat bet: Liverpool will win the match @ 2.2

🔎 Last H2H match details

Liverpool took control as the game wore on and carried the momentum into halftime, with the Reds edging the first half and Curtis Jones breaking the deadlock just before the break. The second half saw Liverpool turn dominance into goals — Dominik Szoboszlai doubled the lead soon after the hour mark and Mohamed Salah added a third shortly after a penalty was awarded. Brighton made multiple substitutions and pushed for a response, creating a few late chances, but they never truly troubled the Liverpool keeper. Overall Liverpool imposed more pressure across both halves and efficiently converted their opportunities, while Brighton largely squandered the chances they did create and never recovered.

📊 Last 10 H2H games stats

The recent rivalry has delivered plenty of goals and attacking intent from both sides, with Liverpool slightly more consistent in turning pressure into results. These 10 meetings favour betting on goals and both teams scoring rather than a tight, one‑nil affair.

- Liverpool won 5 of the last 10 H2H (50%), Brighton won 3, 2 draws.
- 9 of the last 10 meetings produced over 2.5 goals (90%).
- Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 matches (70%).

Which tv channels show the match live?

Universo USA Network

🏠 Home team form: Brighton (last 10 games)

Brighton’s form over the last 10 matches has been inconsistent with a clear dip: 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, and results have oscillated between narrow defeats and low-scoring wins. The side is struggling for goals — only 8 scored in those 10 fixtures (0.8 per game) and they were shut out in four matches. Trend looks flat-to-declining rather than rising, with defensive resilience occasional but attacking output unreliable.
👉 Brighton total goals prediction: Brighton under 1.5 @1.57

💡 Key Brighton stat

Brighton have failed to score in 3 of their 15 Premier League home games this season, showing a tendency to be kept quiet at the Amex.

👉 Brighton stat bet: Brighton under 1.5 @1.57

🔎 Last Brighton match details

Brighton won 1-0 away at Sunderland in their most recent game, taking the lead through a second-half strike and seeing out the match to secure the three points. They set up in a 4-2-3-1 formation and used a mostly regular spine while deploying several impact substitutes, indicating a settled core with fresh options off the bench. Brighton had the clearer chances in the first half, opened the scoring after the hour, and then defended resolutely as Sunderland pressed late but could not convert.

📊 Last 10 Brighton games stats

Brighton’s last 10 matches have been low-scoring and erratic: they managed just 8 goals while conceding 11, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score in 40% of fixtures. Possession and chance creation have been adequate at times, but conversion is the main issue, leaving the team vulnerable in tight games.

🧳 Away team form: Liverpool (last 10 games)

Liverpool have been in good scoring form on the road, picking up 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 10 matches — the trend reads as broadly positive but with occasional defensive lapses. They’ve averaged 2.0 goals per game while shipping an average of 1.0, so results have often been high-scoring affairs. Expect an attack-minded Liverpool side looking to score multiple times away from home.
👉 Liverpool total goals prediction: Liverpool over 1.5 @1.92

💡 Key Liverpool stat

Liverpool score 35% of their goals between the 76–90 minute window — they are a late-threat team who often decide games in the final quarter.

👉 Liverpool stat bet: Liverpool will win the match @2.2

🔎 Last Liverpool match details

Liverpool drew 1-1 away to Tottenham Hotspur in their most recent game; they took an early lead through Szoboszlai and controlled large parts of the first half but couldn’t add a second. The second half saw Tottenham grow into the game and pressure Liverpool late, ultimately stealing a late equaliser around the 89th minute. Liverpool lined up in a 4-3-3 and fielded a near full-strength squad, relying on regular starters rather than wholesale rotation.

📊 Last 10 Liverpool games stats

Over the last 10 away fixtures Liverpool have been prolific going forward (20 goals, 2.0 avg) but vulnerable at the back, producing a mix of big wins and narrow defeats. Matches frequently saw both teams scoring (60%) and over 2.5 goals (60%), so away games have tended to be open and entertaining.

- Record: 6 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses
- Avg goals scored: 2.0 per game (20 in 10)
- Both teams to score: 60% (6/10)

🎯 Goals total prediction

BTTS (both teams to score)

We lean toward both teams finding the net. Historic head‑to‑head is goal‑heavy with BTTS commonly occurring and Liverpool’s recent games often feature both sides scoring, while Brighton’s home form shows they still concede enough to make a Brighton goal plausible.
👉 BTTS prediction: Yes @ 1.53

Goals total over / under

We expect a higher‑scoring affair — Over 2.5. The H2H average is well above three goals and Liverpool’s recent matches produce multiple goals; although Brighton have had some low‑scoring runs, the balance of trends points to a three‑goal (or more) game, so we’ll take a slightly bold over.
👉 Goals total prediction: Over 2.5 @ 1.67

❌ Missing players

Brighton

Brighton head into the match with a few injury absences but none of the missing players have contributed goals or assists in the last 10 games, so the attacking threat on paper is largely unaffected. Defensive cover could still be tested with Adam Webster and forward depth reduced by Stefanos Tzimas' absence.

- Adam Webster (defender) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 15 days
- Kaoru Mitoma (midfielder) | 0 goals, 0 assists | doubtful ❓ | injured 🩼 | since 6 days
- Stefanos Tzimas (forward) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 15 days

Liverpool

Liverpool are missing several defensive and midfield options, none of whom have registered goals or assists in the last 10 games, which suggests limited direct attacking loss but possible squad rotation and depth concerns. The collective absences may force Liverpool into lineup changes that could influence their defensive stability.

- Wataru Endo (midfielder) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 16 days
- Alexander Isak (forward) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 16 days
- Conor Bradley (defender) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 16 days
- Stefan Bajcetic (defender) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 6 days
- Giovanni Leoni (defender) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 16 days

👥 Player stats (last 10 games)

Brighton show a rotated but recognizable core: several players start most matches while others are used regularly off the bench, indicating tactical substitution is a feature rather than wholesale turnover. Liverpool are slightly more stable with a tighter starting XI and clear go-to attackers, although they also use impactful subs. Brighton spread goals and assists across many contributors and generate a fair number of shots (moderate conversion), while Liverpool concentrate finishing in a few players but create lots of chances too; Brighton pick up more yellows overall, while Liverpool have the single red that could affect selection.

👀 Key players to watch

Brighton: Danny Welbeck stands out as the main scoring threat with two goals and a good shots return; Pascal Gross is the creative engine with starts and an assist. Kaoru Mitoma is listed as doubtful injured and should be monitored.

Liverpool: Mohamed Salah is the go-to attacker for both goals and assists and is the clearest anytime-goalscorer pick; Dominik Szoboszlai is influential offensively but carries a red-card suspension risk.

Brighton (last 10 games)

- Starter 11 games: Pascal Gross (10), Ferdi Kadioglu (10), Bart Verbruggen (9)
- Shots & goals: Danny Welbeck (2 goals / 13 shots), Diego Gomez (2 goals / 6 shots), Pascal Gross (1 goal / 8 shots)
- Assists: Pascal Gross (1), Jack Hinshelwood (1), Jan Paul Van Hecke (1)

Liverpool (last 10 games)

- Starter 11 games: Alexis Mac Allister (10), Virgil Van Dijk (10), Mohamed Salah (9)
- Shots & goals: Mohamed Salah (3 goals / 25 shots), Hugo Ekitike (3 goals / 22 shots), Dominik Szoboszlai (3 goals / 15 shots)
- Assists: Mohamed Salah (3), Hugo Ekitike (2), Milos Kerkez (2)

Our player markets predictions:
👉 Anytime goalscorer: Mohamed Salah
👉 Anytime assist: Pascal Gross

Why: Salah is Liverpool’s focal point in attack and has the volume of shots and goals to make an anytime-goalscorer pick the safest option. Pascal Gross combines ever-present starts with a recorded assist and steady chance-creating responsibility for Brighton, making him a sensible anytime-assist candidate. (Skip injured/doubtful players for these markets.)

🟨🟥 Yellow and red cards

Brighton accumulate a higher total of yellows concentrated in a few defenders/midfielders, indicating individual discipline issues rather than team-wide ill-discipline. Liverpool have fewer yellows overall but carry a red-card case in Dominik Szoboszlai, which is the main disciplinary red flag and could affect availability. Expect a moderately physical game with Brighton more likely to pick up cards overall; Szoboszlai’s sending-off history raises the stakes for Liverpool if tempers flare.

Brighton (last 10 games)

- Yellow cards: Diego Gomez (4), Jan Paul Van Hecke (3), Ferdi Kadioglu (2)
- Red cards:

Liverpool (last 10 games)

- Yellow cards: Dominik Szoboszlai (3), Ryan Gravenberch (2), Virgil Van Dijk (2)
- Red cards: Dominik Szoboszlai (1)

👉 Player to be booked prediction: Diego Gomez
Why: He already leads the list of bookings and is the most frequently cautioned Brighton player, making him the likeliest candidate to pick up another yellow in a competitive, physical fixture.

🔁 Squad depth & rotation preference (last 10 games)

Brighton average 4.5 substitutions per game, showing a clear tendency to use the bench and introduce fresh legs or tactical changes more regularly. Liverpool average 3.8 subs per game, indicating a preference for a more settled starting XI and less frequent rotation. Expect Brighton to be the more proactive team with late-game changes, while Liverpool are likelier to stick with their core XI unless forced to alter.

⚽ Goals & assists by subs

Brighton’s bench has contributed 1 goal from substitutes, representing 12.5% of their goals in the last 10 games, but no assists (0%); total subs used: 45. Liverpool’s bench has produced 0 goals and 0 assists from substitutes (total subs used: 38), so there is a noticeable drop-off in contribution from Liverpool’s replacements compared to Brighton.

🃏 Joker players

Brighton have one standout joker in the sample — Charalampos Kostoulas, who has scored 1 goal after coming on as a substitute; Liverpool have no recorded jokers.

Joker value bet predictions:
👉 Anytime goalscorer: Kostoulas
He’s shown he can make a decisive impact off the bench and is the clear late-game goal threat from Brighton’s replacements.

Joker players bets are high risk, high reward because they may not play at all, and if they do, they have less time to make impact on the game.

🧑‍⚖️ Referee impact (last 10 games) - England, Darren

Darren is a relatively calm match manager who lets play flow more than the average Premier League official but still isn’t shy with cautions, so expect a balance between rhythm and disciplinary control; his slightly lower foul count (19.77 per game) versus the league average suggests fewer stoppages and better chances for quick transitions. The main differences: he gives fewer fouls than the league norm (19.77 vs 21.31) but slightly more yellow cards (4.33 vs 4.01) and a comparable red rate (0.09), while he has awarded a small number of penalties in recent games which can be decisive.

💢 Avg. fouls per game

Darren averages 19.77 fouls per game across his last 10 matches versus the Premier League referee average of 21.31, so there’s a visible but modest drop in foul frequency—expect a bit less disruption and more space for counter-attacks.
Fouls total prediction: 👉 Total fouls under 21.5

🟨🟥 Avg. yellow and red cards per game

He hands out slightly more yellow cards than the average referee (4.33 vs 4.01) while his red-card rate is effectively identical (0.09 vs 0.09), meaning bookings are more likely than dismissals and teams may need to manage players on cautions.
Booking points prediction: 👉 Total cards under 4.5

🥅 Avg. penalty shots per game

Darren has awarded some penalties in his last 10 games (0.13 per match) compared with a negligible league average here, so spot-kicks remain a low-probability but real match-defining possibility rather than a dependable source of goals.
Penalty value bet: 👉 At least 1 penalty given: NO

🚩 Set-pieces (last 10 games)

Both teams win a healthy number of set-pieces but Liverpool stands out for generating more opportunities in the final third, suggesting they’ll pose a bigger threat from dead-ball situations; Brighton still offers plenty of corners and can compete in wide, aerial moments. Key difference: Liverpool’s higher count of offensive free-kicks makes them more likely to create dangerous set-piece chances during the match.

📐 Avg. corners per game

Brighton averages about 5.2 corners per game while Liverpool averages roughly 6.9, so there’s a small but clear edge to Liverpool in delivering more crossing opportunities; overall the fixture looks likely to produce a decent volume of corners.
👉 Total corners over 10.5

🎯 Avg. free kicks per game

Both teams win fewer free-kicks than a typical league match, but Liverpool’s 11.7 per game versus Brighton’s 10.0 is noticeably higher and, crucially, Liverpool also wins more free-kicks in the offensive third — that combination increases their chances of creating set-piece routines and direct threats around goal. There is a visible difference: Liverpool is more dangerous from free-kicks in the final 3rd.

🧑‍🦱 Goals by head

Neither side has recorded headed goals in the last 10 matches, so there’s no recent evidence of reliance on aerial finishes from corners or wide free-kicks; expect set-pieces to be used more for chance creation than for guaranteed headed goals.

High Odds Tips

Tips and predictions with odds greater than 2.5

Brighton will win the match

odds +210
Tip Score: 4.4
Good

Correct score regular time: 1:3

odds +1200
Tip Score: 1.2

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool FC InPlay & Live Tips

Best tips for live matches

There will be more than 3.5 goals in the match

odds +377 Live
Tip Score: 5.7
Good

There will be less than 3.5 goals in the match

odds -455 Live
Tip Score: 3.3

Tips from In Form Tipsters

Tips from Tipsters with at least x3 tips won streak.

Liverpool not to lose, half stake wins if there is a draw

odds -227
Tip Score: 0.8

Liverpool wins or draw

odds -278
Tip Score: 0.8

1X2 Tips

Best tips for all "to win" markets

Brighton win or draw

odds -149
Tip Score: 5.9
Good

Liverpool will win the match

odds +120
Tip Score: 5.8
Good

BTTS, Over/Under Tips

Best tips for goal markets

There will be more than 2.5 goals in the match

odds -175
Tip Score: 5.9
Good

Both teams will score in the match

odds -200
Tip Score: 3.6

Victor Prediction Tips

Teams to win betting predictions

Liverpool will win the match

odds +120
Tip Score: 5.8
Good

Liverpool will win the match

odds +120
Tip Score: 5.0
Good

Both teams to score tips (BTTS tips)

Best BTTS predictions from our tipsters

Both teams will score in the match

odds -200
Tip Score: 3.6

Both teams will score in the match

odds -200
Tip Score: 2.7

Double Chance Tips

Free double chance tips and predictions from the best tipsters

Brighton win or draw

odds -149
Tip Score: 5.9
Good

Correct Score Tips

Best tips for a correct score of the game

Correct score regular time: 1:3

odds +1200
Tip Score: 1.2

Best Bets Today Tips

Top 10 tips for today according to our AI model

Brighton win or draw

odds -149
Tip Score: 5.9
Good

There will be more than 2.5 goals in the match

odds -175
Tip Score: 5.9
Good

📋 Lineups

Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton
1 Martinez 3 Silva 4 Pereira 5 Santos 2 Dias 8 Oliveira 6 Fernandes 10 Costa 11 Almeida 9 Rodriguez 7 Lopez 1 Rossi 3 Garcia 4 Torres 5 Moreno 2 Varela 6 Mendez 8 Paqueta 11 Everton 10 Henrique 7 Arrascaeta 9 Pedro
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Lineups are only available in the ProTipster app!

Liverpool Liverpool FC

Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool FC streaks and trends

Team Trend or streak Prediction Odds
Logo There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of Brighton's last 7 games (Premier League). Under 2.5 +138
Logo There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 5 of Liverpool's last 6 games (Premier League). Under 3.5 -182
Logo At most one team scored in 5 of Brighton's last 6 games (Premier League). BTTS: No +150
Logo Both teams scored in 7 of Liverpool's last 9 games (Premier League). BTTS: Yes -200
Logo Brighton have scored under 1.5 in 8 of their last 10 matches (Premier League). Home under 1.5 -159
Logo Liverpool have scored under 1.5 in 5 of their last 6 matches (Premier League). Away under 1.5 -106
Logo Brighton have not drawn their last 6 matches (Premier League). Home Win or Lose -345
Logo Liverpool have not drawn 7 of their last 8 matches (Premier League). Away Win or Lose -345
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Brighton vs Liverpool - Community Prediction

Community's Picks

-> Liverpool to win, draw no bet @1.67
-> There will be more than 2.5 goals in the match @1.73
-> Both teams will score in the match @1.57
Liverpool to win, draw no bet (odd: 1.67) is our backbone pick since the community’s 19 tips point to a solid win cushion, while there will be more than 2.5 goals in the match (odd: 1.73) backs up a high-scoring showdown. Both teams will score in the match (odd: 1.57) adds further muscle to the combo thanks to 10 tips suggesting plenty of offensive action.

Brighton - Community Tips Summary

The community isn’t really backing Brighton hard – most of the heavy votes are on Liverpool taking control. There are just a few tips for a Brighton win or draw, so overall, folks seem to think the hosts will mostly play a supporting role in a match where Liverpool does the talking.

Liverpool - Community Tips Summary

Liverpool is the clear favourite, with heavy backing from 19 tips on a win. The community is also hinting at plenty of scoring, reinforcing the idea that Liverpool will be the ones doing most of the damage. Other markets have a few picks here and there, but nothing solid sticks out beyond Liverpool's dominance.
This article is a summary of 73 tips posted by ProTipster community at 12 hours before the game starts. Current number of tips posted may be different.

Comfortable win expected for Liverpool

Liverpool looks like the clear favourite for this Brighton vs Liverpool clash despite Brighton hosting. A crowd of bettors back Liverpool while a few play it safe with doubles or back draws.

What happens in 1st half? (Opening fireworks expected)

Community hasn’t posted many tips on the first half – just one for over 1 goal in the early minutes. That means not many are betting on immediate action. Most folks seem to hold off on big predictions till later parts of the game.

How many goals total will we see? (Scoring feast on the cards)

Tips lean heavy towards a match with over 2.5 goals and both teams finding the net. With 16 backing a high goal tally and 10 quoting both teams to score, people expect a lively contest with plenty of firepower, although a couple of cautious ones hedge on fewer goals.

Who will score and how many? (Liverpool expected to bag the bulk)

The majority of tips favor Liverpool scoring well, with three tips on them surpassing 1.5 goals away. Brighton receiving only a single tip for even a goal or less shows that the community isn’t banking on the hosts to light up the scoreboard much. Expect Liverpool to do the heavy lifting when it comes to goals.

Who will win? (Liverpool is the clear favourite)

All signs point to Liverpool taking the match. With 19 tips for a Liverpool win against a handful for Brighton or a draw, people lean heavily on Liverpool. Some bettors even opt for double chance bets to cover a win or draw scenario for Liverpool, hinting at a solid backing for the away side.

By how many goals? (A two-goal margin looks possible)

When it comes to the winning margin, only a few tips speculate on the gap. There are modest hints from handicap bets suggesting Liverpool could win by at least 2 goals, though it’s not a heavily backed outcome. The community seems a bit cautious on pinpointing the exact winning margin, yet the few picks indicate a comfortable edge for Liverpool.

Last matches

League table - Premier League 25/26

Team P W D L PTS
1 Arsenal FC 38 26 7 5 85
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 78
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 71
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 65
5 Liverpool FC 38 17 9 12 60
6 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 57
7 Sunderland AFC 38 14 12 12 54
8 Brighton & Hove Albion 38 14 11 13 53
9 Brentford FC 38 14 11 13 53
10 Chelsea FC 38 14 10 14 52
11 Fulham FC 38 15 7 16 52
12 Newcastle United 38 14 7 17 49
13 Everton FC 38 13 10 15 49
14 Leeds United 38 11 14 13 47
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 45
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur 38 10 11 17 41
18 West Ham United 38 10 9 19 39
19 Burnley FC 38 4 10 24 22
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 3 11 24 20