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Bayer Leverkusen VS Bayern Munich Football Betting Tips & Predictions

DFB Pokal

Leverkusen

0 - 2

HT: 0 - 1 | FT: 0 - 2

Bayern Munich

Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich - Expert Prediction

Editor's Picks

⭐️ Our Tips

Team to win

We expect Bayern's relentless attacking form to carry them through, but prefer a safety net given the cup tie and Leverkusen's strong home record. The draw-no-bet removes the sting of an unlikely stalemate.
👉 Bayern Munich to win, draw no bet @1.22

Check 10 more tips in our app!

On April 22, 2026, we watch a high-stakes DFB-Pokal semi-final as Bayern Munich travel to Bayer Leverkusen, two in-form giants chasing cup glory and using this clash to sharpen their momentum and motivation for the rest of the season.

⏱️ Half-time update

⏱️ It's 0-0 at the break. Here are our live predictions for the 2nd half:

🏆 Team to win the 2nd half: Home @2.10

🎯 Goals total in the 2nd half: Over 0.5 @1.25

💡 Reasoning: The hosts controlled the opening 45 with the bulk of possession and the cleaner shots, while the visitors sat deep and produced nothing on target.

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🤜🤛 Head-to-Head games

Recent H2H meetings have been tightly contested and low‑scoring — neither side has managed to stamp clear dominance over the last ten encounters (Leverkusen 3 wins, Bayern 3 wins, 4 draws). The rivalry looks balanced rather than trending strongly in either direction, with many matches decided by a single goal or finished level. Defenses have generally had the upper hand across these fixtures.

💡 Key H2H stat

Bayern have dominated the long‑term head‑to‑head: across the last 77 meetings they’ve won 46 times while Leverkusen won 16, with a goal difference of 154-89 in Bayern’s favour.

🔎 Last H2H match details

Leverkusen struck early and controlled large portions of the first half after taking the lead, limiting Bayern to speculative efforts and a few set-piece moments. Bayern were reduced to ten men late in the first half but came out more assertive after the break and gradually took the initiative. Luis Diaz levelled midway through the second half and Bayern created the clearer chances from that point, while Leverkusen relied more on counters and wasted openings. A late second sending-off for Bayern curtailed their momentum, and the game finished 1-1 — a draw that reflected Leverkusen’s strong start and Bayern’s superior second-half pressure.

📊 Last 10 H2H games stats

The last ten meetings show an even split (3 wins each and 4 draws) and a clear defensive pattern: 9 of 10 games finished with under 3.5 goals and half ended with two or fewer goals. Both teams failed to score in 60% of these matches (BTTS No 6/10), underlining how often defenses have prevailed in this rivalry.

🏠 Home team form: Leverkusen (last 10 games)

Leverkusen have been producing high‑scoring, open games recently — across the last 10 fixtures they recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats, showing more consistency in attack than in defence. They average 1.8 goals per game while conceding 1.6, so results have often been decided by fine margins. Overall the trend is mixed rather than clearly rising or falling: potent going forward but vulnerable at the back.

💡 Key Leverkusen stat

Leverkusen arrive in excellent form at home — they're unbeaten across their last nine home matches.

🔎 Last Leverkusen match details

Leverkusen hosted FC Augsburg and started brightly, taking an early lead through a headed goal before conceding an equaliser shortly after; the second half saw Leverkusen press and create the better chances but fail to finish them. The match was played with a 4-3-3 shape and Leverkusen fielded a largely strong side with a settled defence and midfield while the attack showed rotation. Despite territorial advantage and a string of late attacking opportunities, Leverkusen were undone by a stoppage‑time penalty and lost 2-1.

📊 Last 10 Leverkusen games stats

The last 10 games have been entertaining and high‑scoring: 7 of 10 matches had both teams scoring and the overall average total goals per game is 3.4. Leverkusen generate set‑piece and attacking pressure (6.1 corners per game) but defensive lapses mean clean sheets are rare (2 in 10).

🧳 Away team form: Bayern Munich (last 10 games)

Bayern Munich are flying right now — W9 D1 L0 in their last ten matches, showing a clear rising trend with relentless attacking output. They’ve scored 37 goals across those games (an average of 3.7 per match) while conceding 12, so matches have tended to be high‑scoring affairs. The side looks confident offensively and difficult to stop on current form.

💡 Key Bayern Munich stat

Bayern Munich have found the net in 51 consecutive matches, an extraordinary scoring run that underlines their consistency in attack.

🔎 Last Bayern Munich match details

Bayern Munich beat VfB Stuttgart 4-2 in their most recent game: they fell behind early but overturned the score before half‑time and put the result beyond doubt in the second half before Stuttgart’s late double. The team lined up in a 4-3-3 and fielded a mostly full‑strength XI with tactical rotation up front rather than wholesale changes. Bayern dominated long spells, converting their chances through a clinical first half and an early second‑half strike, and they held on despite Stuttgart’s late pressure.

📊 Last 10 Bayern Munich games stats

Bayern’s last ten fixtures have been high‑tempo and goal‑heavy: 100% over 1.5 goals, 90% over 2.5 goals and 80% saw both teams score. They averaged 3.7 goals per game, kept 2 clean sheets, and combined strong possession and shot volume to produce consistently one‑sided scorelines in their favor.

🎯 Goals total prediction

BTTS (both teams to score)

Yes. Both sides have been finding the net regularly — Bayern have BTTS in around 8/10 recent matches and Leverkusen in roughly 7/10, while Leverkusen’s last home run shows BTTS in about half of fixtures and overall Leverkusen have BTTS in 70% of recent games. Bayern’s long scoring run (they’ve scored in dozens of consecutive matches) plus Leverkusen’s decent home scoring make both teams likely to register.

Goals total over / under

Over 2.5. Bayern’s matches are high-scoring (over 2.5 in ~9/10 recent games and team averages near 3.7 goals per match) and Leverkusen’s home average is about 2.1 goals with many home games producing multiple goals, so a 3+ goal contest is the most probable outcome.

❌ Missing players

Leverkusen

Leverkusen will be without two squad members, with Martin Terrier the only forward option missing recently; none of the absentees have high goals/assists returns over the last 10 games but depth could be affected. Both absences are injury-related and could force tactical adjustments.

- Martin Terrier (forward) | 1 goals, 1 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 17 days
- Arthur (defender) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 9 days

Bayern Munich

Bayern miss several midfield options and an experienced backup goalkeeper; Lennart Karl stands out with the best attacking output among the absentees and his absence reduces midfield creativity. All listed absences are injury-related and could influence rotation and bench options.

- Lennart Karl (midfielder) | 2 goals, 3 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 7 days
- Tom Bischof (midfielder) | 2 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 3 days
- Sven Ulreich (goalkeeper) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 30 days
- David Daiber (midfielder) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🩼 | since 3 days

👥 Player stats (last 10 games)

Both teams rely on a clear core of regular starters, though Leverkusen mixes in more rotation and bench usage while Bayern stick tighter to a small first XI. Bayern’s goals and assists are concentrated among a handful of attackers and creative midfielders, whereas Leverkusen spread goal contributions across more players with a single main creator in Alex Grimaldo. Leverkusen have generated plenty of shots but a moderate conversion rate; Bayern shoot frequently too and rely on clinical finishes from their top forwards. Both teams show pockets of aggression concentrated in a few regulars — Leverkusen’s bookings cluster in their midfield/defence, Bayern’s include attacking and defensive names; injured players to note: Martin Terrier and Arthur are missing for Leverkusen; Lennart Karl, Tom Bischof, Sven Ulreich and David Daiber are injured for Bayern.

👀 Key players to watch

Leverkusen: Alex Grimaldo is the main creative outlet with the highest assists and a high shot count from wide areas; Patrik Schick is the most efficient scorer when on the pitch. Both are central to Leverkusen’s attacking threat — Terrier is injured and therefore ruled out.
Bayern Munich: Harry Kane remains the prime goalscorer and focal point in attack, supported by Luis Diaz and Michael Olise who supply goals and chances; Jamal Musiala is an important secondary creator.

Leverkusen (last 10 games)

- Starter 11 games: Robert Andrich (9), Alex Grimaldo (9), Edmond Tapsoba (9)
- Shots & goals: Patrik Schick (4 / 13), Alex Grimaldo (3 / 19), Christian Michel Kofane (2 / 15)
- Assists: Alex Grimaldo (4), Patrik Schick (1), Christian Michel Kofane (1)

Bayern Munich (last 10 games)

- Starter 11 games: Joshua Kimmich (9), Josip Stanisic (8), Konrad Laimer (7)
- Shots & goals: Harry Kane (6 / 22), Luis Diaz (5 / 24), Michael Olise (5 / 34)
- Assists: Luis Diaz (5), Michael Olise (4), Jamal Musiala (3)

🟨🟥 Yellow and red cards

Both sides pick up a fair number of bookings concentrated in a few core players rather than spread evenly across the squad. Leverkusen’s cards come mostly from defensive and central players, pointing to tactical fouling or physical midfield battles; Bayern show similar concentration but have the only red card in the sample. Given totals and the competitive nature of the fixture, expect a combative match with patches of escalation around midfield duels.

Leverkusen (last 10 games)

- Yellow cards: Robert Andrich (3), Alex Grimaldo (3), Edmond Tapsoba (3)
- Red cards:

Bayern Munich (last 10 games)

- Yellow cards: Luis Diaz (3), Michael Olise (3), Jonathan Tah (3)
- Red cards: Nicolas Jackson (1)

👉 Player to be booked prediction: Alex Grimaldo
Reason: Grimaldo is heavily involved in build-up and attacking transitions, leads Leverkusen’s assist tally and carries a high work-rate up and down the flank — that combination of frequent touches, defensive duties and involvement in dangerous areas makes him susceptible to tactical fouls or persistent booking in a high-intensity match.

🔁 Squad depth & rotation preference (last 10 games)

Leverkusen average nearly three substitutes per game, indicating a tendency to freshen the side and make tactical tweaks late on. Bayern use slightly fewer changes at 2.4 subs per game, suggesting more trust in the starting XI and more selective use of bench options. Expect Leverkusen to be a bit more proactive with rotation during the match while Bayern will deploy targeted changes when needed.

⚽ Goals & assists by subs

Across the last 10 games Leverkusen’s bench accounted for 2 goals and 1 assist — 11.11% of their goals and 8.33% of their assists — showing modest finishing impact from replacements. Bayern’s substitutes contributed 2 goals and 4 assists, representing 5.41% of goals but a bigger 13.33% of assists, so Bayern’s bench has been more influential in chance creation while both sides have produced occasional late goals from the bench.

🃏 Joker players

Bayern have clear standouts off the bench: Alphonso Davies (2 assists as a sub) and Jamal Musiala (1 goal and 1 assist as a sub) have been the most decisive late-game game-changers; Harry Kane also has a goal as a substitute. Leverkusen do not feature a single dominant joker — Malik Tillman and Patrik Schick each have 1 goal as subs and Ernest Poku has 1 sub-assist — so their impact is more evenly spread among several players.

🧑‍⚖️ Referee impact (last 10 games) - Welz, Tobias

Tobias Welz is a relatively interventionist official who breaks up play frequently but is not overly punitive with dismissals; his games show a stop-start pattern with more fouls called than the DFB Pokal average, yet fewer straight red cards. Compared with all Germany DFB Pokal referees, Welz stands out for a much higher foul count (17.06 vs 3.91) and a noticeably lower red rate (0.02 vs 0.12), a combination that favours match control through set pieces rather than expulsions — the big standout is his foul rate, which strongly suggests more dead-ball situations impacting the scoreline.

💢 Avg. fouls per game

Welz averages 17.06 fouls per game across his last 10 matches, well above the competition mean of 3.91, so expect a more interrupted game with frequent free-kicks and fewer continuous attacking phases. This clear difference (17.06 vs 3.91) points to more stoppages and potential set-piece opportunities.
Fouls total prediction: 👉 Total fouls over 15.5

🟨🟥 Avg. yellow and red cards per game

Welz issues marginally fewer yellow cards than the Pokal average (4.49 vs 4.71), so cautions are around league norm and likely won’t drastically alter player behavior early on, but teams should still beware of bookings affecting late-game substitutions. He hands out far fewer red cards (0.02 vs 0.12), indicating outright dismissals are unlikely and most disciplinary control will come via yellows rather than sendings-off.

🥅 Avg. penalty shots per game

Welz awards more penalties than the tournament average (0.12 vs 0.00), suggesting a slightly higher chance of spot-kicks in his matches; attackers who drive into the box could be rewarded, and defenders must be wary of risky challenges inside the area.

🚩 Set-pieces (last 10 games)

Both teams generate a healthy number of set-piece situations, but Bayern edge Leverkusen on volume—especially in dangerous free-kick spots—so they should pose a slightly bigger threat from dead-ball actions; overall, expect set pieces to matter more as chance-creators than as decisive goals (Bayern’s higher share of final-third free kicks is the clearest difference). One key point for the match: Bayern are more likely to win quality free kicks in the attacking third, which could tilt pressure in their favour.

📐 Avg. corners per game

Bayern average noticeably more corners (7.53) than Leverkusen (5.94), giving them a clearer edge in wide play and crossing volume, though both are below the wider cup average. There is a visible difference in favour of Bayern.
👉 Total corners over 11.5

🎯 Avg. free kicks per game

Both teams pick up a similar number of free kicks per game (Leverkusen 8.64, Bayern 8.58), but Bayern win a substantially larger share from offensive areas, meaning their set plays are likelier to come from dangerous positions in the final third; Leverkusen’s free kicks are more often from deeper areas.

🧑‍🦱 Goals by head

Neither side has recorded headed goals in the last 10 matches (0 goals, 0%), so there’s no evidence either team currently relies on aerial finishes from corners or wide free kicks, and no meaningful difference between them on this metric.

Team / Tournament Expert Tips

Tips from Tipsters with high yield for specific tournament or team

gokseninkilic

Team expert

LOST

There will be more than 2.5 goals in the match

odds -357
Tip Score: 3.2
gokseninkilic

Team expert

LOST

Both teams will score in the match

odds -263
Tip Score: 0.0
Not rated

Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich InPlay & Live Tips

Best tips for live matches

There will be more than 4 goals in the match

odds +658 Live
Tip Score: 3.7

Bayern Munich will score over 1.5 goals

odds +520 Live
Tip Score: 2.4

Tips from In Form Tipsters

Tips from Tipsters with at least x3 tips won streak.

Bayern Munich will win the match

odds -154
Tip Score: 3.2

Leverkusen not to lose (stake refunded if Leverkusen loses by exactly 1 goal(s))

odds +102
Tip Score: 0.0
Not rated

1X2 Tips

Best tips for all "to win" markets

Bayern Munich will win the match

odds -154
Tip Score: 3.2

Bayern Munich will win the match

odds -154
Tip Score: 1.4

BTTS, Over/Under Tips

Best tips for goal markets

At most one of team will score

odds +204
Tip Score: 4.7
Good

There will be more than 1 goals in the first half

odds -333
Tip Score: 4.4
Good

Victor Prediction Tips

Teams to win betting predictions

Bayern Munich will win the match

odds -154
Tip Score: 3.2

Bayern Munich will win the match

odds -154
Tip Score: 1.4

Both teams to score tips (BTTS tips)

Best BTTS predictions from our tipsters

At most one of team will score

odds +204
Tip Score: 4.7
Good

Both teams will score in the match

odds -263
Tip Score: 2.1

Best Bets Today Tips

Top 10 tips for today according to our AI model

At most one of team will score

odds +204
Tip Score: 4.7
Good

There will be more than 1 goals in the first half

odds -333
Tip Score: 4.4
Good

Sure Bet Tips

Tips with at least 80% probability according to bookmakers

There will be more than 1.5 goals in the match

odds -1429
Tip Score: 1.4

📋 Lineups

Bayer Leverkusen Leverkusen
1 Martinez 3 Silva 4 Pereira 5 Santos 2 Dias 8 Oliveira 6 Fernandes 10 Costa 11 Almeida 9 Rodriguez 7 Lopez 1 Rossi 3 Garcia 4 Torres 5 Moreno 2 Varela 6 Mendez 8 Paqueta 11 Everton 10 Henrique 7 Arrascaeta 9 Pedro
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Bayern Munich Bayern Munich

Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich streaks and trends

Team Trend or streak Prediction Odds
Logo Bayern Munich have won their last 7 matches (all competitions). Away Win -154
Logo matchFact.teamToWinFirstHalf.awayWon.withMissing matchFact.prediction.teamToWinFirstHalf.away +101
Logo Leverkusen are undefeated in 16 of their last 19 matches (all competitions). Home Win or Draw +132
Logo Bayern Munich are undefeated in their last 17 matches (all competitions). Away Win or Draw -500
Logo There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 10 of Leverkusen's last 13 games (all competitions). Under 3.5 +110
Logo There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 6 of Bayern Munich's last 7 games (all competitions). Over 3.5 -133
Logo Leverkusen have scored under 1.5 in 9 of their last 12 matches (all competitions). Home under 1.5 -154
Logo Bayern Munich have scored over 3.5 in 5 of their last 7 matches (all competitions). Away over 3.5 +254
Logo Both teams scored in 6 of Leverkusen's last 8 games (all competitions). BTTS: Yes -263
Logo Both teams scored in 10 of Bayern Munich's last 12 games (all competitions). BTTS: Yes -263
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Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich - Community Prediction

Community's Picks

-> Bayern Munich will win the match @1.6
-> Both teams will score in the match @1.41
-> There will be more than 2.5 goals in the match @1.28
Bayern Munich will win the match (odd 1.6) and both teams will score in the match (odd 1.41) are our top bets – the Bavarians show clear strength and the game is set to spark up with action at both ends. There will be more than 2.5 goals in the match (odd 1.28) too, adding extra zest if you reckon the scoring will keep rolling in.

Leverkusen - Community Tips Summary

The community barely backs Leverkusen, with hardly any strong calls beyond some cautious double chance nods keeping them in the mix. Most bettors are more focused on the Bavarians, so Leverkusen are generally seen as the underdogs who'll be fighting tooth and nail to salvage a point.

Bayern Munich - Community Tips Summary

Bayern Munich are viewed as clear favorites, with bettors strongly backing them to take the win. The community trusts the Bavarians’ strength, and while there's some talk about goals coming from both sides, the main sentiment is that Bayern will run the show.
This article is a summary of 59 tips posted by ProTipster community at 12 hours before the game starts. Current number of tips posted may be different.

Bayern Munich set for a clear victory

Bayern Munich are coming in as the heavy favourites while Leverkusen look to keep things tight. The vibe is that the Bavarians should take charge, even if the home crowd adds some spice.

What happens in 1st half? Quick look: Early pace is hard to call

Only a few tips were tossed about the first half goals – a couple leaning on over 1.5 goals and one on over 1 goal. Not much weight there, so the community isn’t too convinced about a big first-half display. It seems like most focus is waiting for the main act later.

How many goals total will we see? Quick look: 3+ total expected

The overall picture on goals total points to a match with plenty of action. There’s a decent nod toward more than 2.5 and even over 3 goals. And when it comes to both teams scoring, the bulk of tips – a strong 12 versus a lone dissenting view – suggest that both squads will find the net. Expect a game with around 3 or more goals.

Who will score and how many? Quick look: Bayern buckets a few while Leverkusen nets modestly

When breaking down the scoring numbers, the hints are split. For Bayern, there are calls for over 1.5 and even over 2.5, tempered by an under 3.5 pick – so roughly 2 to 3 goals seems likely. Leverkusen tips indicate they might sneak past the 1-goal mark while staying under 2.5. Overall, the ideas aren’t backed by many tips for exact numbers, leaving this bit a bit open to debate.

Who will win? Quick look: Bayern is the clear favourite

This part is split heavily in favor of Bayern Munich with 15 tips backing a Bayern win. Even the combined bets that link win and goals lean toward the Bavarians coming out on top. The few double chance picks hint at a margin of safety if things get rocky, but the overall sentiment is that Bayern will lift themselves to a victory.

By how many goals? Quick look: A 2-goal edge seems on the cards

Handicap wagers point toward a margin around 2 goals. Two separate handicap picks expect Bayern to win by at least 2 goals, while one option on Asian Handicap backs the notion that even if Leverkusen keeps it close, Bayern shouldn’t be caught by more than a single-goal error. Even though these ideas aren’t supported by a huge volume of tips, they hint that the Bavarians’ superiority could be shown in the margin of victory.

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