Champions League Betting Preview 21-11-17
Peter Bosz’s Dortmund welcome Mauricio Pochettino’s Tottenham Hotspur to the Westfalenstadion in a game that matters little to the hosts. Dortmund cannot qualify for the last 16 of the Champions League and it’s between them and APOEL for the Europa League place. You have to wonder will they be bothered. In previous years when they’ve actually managed to loosen Bayern Munich’s stranglehold on the Bundesliga it’s always been in season when they’re not playing in Europe. Tempting then for them to concentrate on domestic matters wouldn’t you think.
For Spurs they can also take their foot off the pedal a bit but they’re be reeling from their North London derby loss to Arsenal on Saturday. Apart from a couple of early chances the Tottenham that showed up were nothing like the one we’ve all gotten used to seeing this season. Granted Dele Alli and Harry Kane were returning from injury but they wilted in the match and it’s something they’ll need to get out of their system if they’re wanted to mount a Premier League/Champions League challenge. A draw here will be enough to keep Spurs in top position and they’ll be able to secure top spot then when APOEL visit Wembley on December 6th.
The Draw is currently priced at 3.78. Dortmund haven’t won at home since September, losing to title-revals Red Bull Leipzig and Bayern Munich in that period.
One I personally liked the look of was Tottenham to Score more than 1.5 goals at 2.32, something they’ve done in 8 out of 15 previous games.
Sevilla FC – Liverpool FC
Liverpool go into this one as slim favourites, currently priced at 2.55 to win the match in the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium. You’d be forgiven for wondering why though, Sevilla made a mockery out of Jurgen Klopp’s team in the Europa League final in Basel in May 2016, and in the recent reverse of this fixture at Anfield honors were even at full time, albeit thanks to a missed Roberto Firmino penalty in the first half.
Sevilla are formidable at home, they’ve not lost a game in over a year; when Juventus visited them in last season’s Champions League campaign, that’s 26 home games without losing. A record certainly not to be sniffed at. It’s a must win for Los Rojiblancos, Spartak Moscow will surely secure 3 points at home to Maribor and will move ahead of Sevilla if they don’t beat Liverpool.
The most popular bet on ProTipster is Over 2.5 goals at 1.60. This bet would have landed in 6/10 previous home Sevilla games and in 7/10 previous away Liverpool games. The odds are low for a reason, both teams are scoring; with Sevilla getting 2 goals per game on average in their last 10 at home, while Liverpool have scored on average 2.2 goals per game away from home.
Our Tip of the Day (https://www.protipster.com/pick/sevilla-fc-liverpool-fc-24ye9mv708z80) on ProTipster is for Seville to Score more than 1.5 goals and at 1.95 we think the price on offer is worthy of a punt.
Manchester City – Feyenoord
Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City welcome Dutch Champions Feyenoord, City already all but qualified but can seal top spot tonight with a game to go. There’s very little of value here, City are 1.13 to Win. Over 2.5 is a paltry 1.28, you have to go to Over 4.0 goals to find anything over Evens (2.21), so you’d need to see 5 goals scored in the match for that bet to win, you’d get your stake back if 4 were scored.
On the ProTipster Football Show last night ProTipsterDan spoke about how the Manchester City fans are expecting the manager to give a run out to some of his fringe players and to try and blood them with some Champions League experience. Indeed, with Feyenood having nothing to play for they may even do the same.
Look, City will probably trounce the Dutch Champions so it’s one to sit back and enjoy as the goals rain in.
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