Switzerland vs Turkey takes place on June 20 in Baku, Azerbaijan as Group A of Euro 2020 comes to a conclusion. Switzerland need to win and hope Wales loses in their game if they are to progress as one of the top two finishers, while Turkey can only finish third at best in the group even if they win this fixture. Read on for more analysis, match predictions and betting tips.
Switzerland struggled against an imperious Italian side in Rome on Wednesday evening, losing 3-0 to the home side and now face another long journey to what is essentially an elimination game in Baku. Vladimir Petkovic’s Swiss team have not been in massively great form coming into this tournament and they have only beaten Bulgaria in their last five away games. Against Italy Switzerland only managed to create one real chance and if they are to progress they need to do better against Turkey.
Although the game was played in Baku, Turkey had more than 30,000 fans in the ground for their game against Wales making it effectively a home game for them. Despite that, they succumbed to a 2-0 defeat which has made qualification from this group very difficult. There were chances for Turkey to come back against Wales but they couldn’t get past Danny Ward in the Wales goal. That lack of goalscoring prowess has cost them and they will need to break their Euro2020 duck against Switzerland if they are to go any further.
Switzerland were forced to call up uncapped Borussia Dortmund keeper Gregor Kobel before the match with Italy as Montpellier goalie Jonas Omlin has had a minor injury to his ankle. However, other than that there are no injuries to contend with in the Swiss squad. Forward Haris Seferovic did come off at half time in Rome but that was tactical as the Benfica striker had only had 13 touches of the ball in the first half.
Turkish head coach Senol Gunes subbed off both of Okay Yokuslu and Ozan Tufan from the Turkish midfield at half time against Wales but it appears both subs were tactical and there are no injuries to contend with. One of the subs to come on was Lille forward Yusuf Yazici and it could be that he partners his club team mate Burak Yilmaz up front for this final game with Turkey knowing that they have to win to have any chance of progression.
Switzerland come into this game as favourites with prices of around 1.75 against them recording victory in Baku over Turkey. Those odds seem a little short despite Turkey’s woes so far and there might be value betting tips in the 12X market backing Turkey to win. The fact that only a win will do realistically for either side means both sides have to go for it and it’s not surprising that over 2.5 goals is only at 1.80. There is some good value in the handicap market, where Turkey +1 is trading at around 2.00 - high odds against a team with a lot of fans behind it who have to win.