Spain vs Poland takes place in Seville on June 19 with both nations looking for their first Group E win in Euro2020. Spain endured a frustrating night in Seville on Monday, dominating possession but unable to find a way past Robin Olsen in the Swedish goal. Poland fared even worse, going behind to a Wojciech Szczesny own goal and having Grzegorz Krychowiak sent off in a 2-1 defeat to Slovakia. Read on for analysis, match predictions and betting tips.
Spain coach Luis Enrique has come in for a lot of criticism prior to the tournament and Spain’s first game has not helped things. Picking a squad without Sergio Ramos or any of his Real Madrid team mates is one thing, only picking 24 players when there are 26 spaces is another. Spain have only lost one game in the last two years but they have drawn 7 of their last 14 games. That needs to change fast or Spain are potentially going to find themselves out of the tournament early.
Poland have been really poor of late. Their only win this calendar year was against the mighty Andorra, and they have lost four of their last eight games. While Poland might have one of the best strikers in Europe in Robert Lewandowski, coach Paulo Sousa has a lack of real quality elsewhere in the squad, and it shows. Now Poland face a tough match against a tough opponent where defeat could see them exit the tournament.
Luis Enrique decided to go with a front three of Dani Olmo, Alvaro Morata and Ferran Torres in the game against Sweden, with none of them able to get past the Swedish defence. He might decide to shake things up for this game and bring in Villareal forward Gerard Moreno, who scored 23 times in La Liga last season. Sergio Busquets missed out last time out having tested positive for Covid-19; there is a doubt whether he will return to lead the side for this one.
Krychowiak’s red card means he is suspended for this game which gives Paulo Sousa an immediate selection headache. Jakub Moder is a likely replacement having come on as a second half substitute, but it might be Poland decide to shake up their formation with a much more formidable opponent in front of them. Should Pogon Szczecin attacking midfielder Kacper Kozlowski make an appearance, he will break England midfielder Jude Bellingham’s recent record as the youngest ever player to play at the European Championship Finals.
As one would expect, Spain are very short favourites to win this game with some bookies offering as little as 1.30 against it. The bookies must be expecting a big win because BTTS and under 2.5 goals are both 2.00. The value betting tips for this game are going to be from any tipster who has an insight into how much that opening draw has affected Spain, with Poland +1 trading as high as 3.00 and +1.5 in the Asian Handicap market at around 1.75.