Two of the major European leagues are going to end this weekend. (Bundesliga, La Liga), so we should take a look at which teams have something to play for in order to find value bets.
Bundesliga Last Game Week Preview
Title race is still open in Bundesliga! Bayern Munich need at least one point against the Champions League spot contenders Eintracht Frankfurt in order to secure the title. Yes, it’s a little bit complicated situation in the Bundesliga. Three teams are still in game for the last Champions League spot. So let’s take a look at one of the matches more closely.AvG: Average Goals, BTTS Yes: Both teams to score
￼Hertha Berlin - Leverkusen
Last week Leverkusen couldn’t win against Schalke, so they lost a significant advantage. They hit the woodwork 2 times, and their ball possession was 76%!
Despite this setback Leverkusen are still the favorites to take the fourth place. The match is “must-win” for them, while Hertha have nothing to play for. Berlin side won their last two fixtures, but those were matches against league’s bottom teams. If Leverkusen score an early goal, it’s obvious that they will also play for a better goal difference. They have two goals worse difference than M’Gladbach, sto they will try to win with 3 goals difference. Probably even an ordinary win will be enough as M’Gladbach need to beat Dortmund.
Last Game week Stats:
- Hertha lost at their home against Leipzig 2-6 in 2017/2018 season at the last game week in a very similar situation.
- Hertha lost to Leverkusen 2-6 in 2016/2017 season’s last game week. Hertha finished the league at 6th spot that season, but they didn’t have any chance for the Champions League before the match.
La Liga Last Game Week Preview
Barcelona already won the title, and we know that they, Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid secured the first three spots, but three teams are still in a battle for the last Champions League spot. Valencia have the significant advantage, if they win in Valladolid, they don’t need to check other results. Sevilla are in the worst situation, as they need both, Getafe and Valencia, to lose. We can say it’s practically impossible situation. So, we can make a double bet based on motivation factor.
AvG: Average Goals, BTTS Yes: Both teams to score
Getafe + Valencia to win @2,32
Valencia will face Real Valladolid who just avoided relegation from the Primera Division. Probably they will be much more relaxed after they secured a stay. They’re one of the worst home teams in La Liga. They have won just 5 out of 18 home matches. Valencia lost 3 games in their last ten, but two of these fixtures were before their UEFA Europa League matches, while one was against strong Atletico Madrid side. They have a huge chance to win in Valladolid and qualify for the Champions League next season.
Getafe’s task is a bit harder. They need to wait for Valencia’s defeat or draw, while at the same time they need to take three points against Villarreal. The odds are a bit higher than expected for this kind of a “must-win” match. It’s all about Villarreal’s form. They lost only once in their last 6 games, and it was against Real Madrid. There is an interesting point here. Villarreal have a huge local rivalry with Valencia and probably they would not be to happy to see Valencia in the Champions League. This can be an x-factor for this match. There is no reason for Villarreal to be motivated for this match.